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  1. Psychological profiling to identify future winners.

    This story opens with a question: if a new recruit into an NFL franchise will cost them $30-50 million (about 20-33.7 million) over five years, how can the teams making these signings be so sure that they are getting value for money? Look at it another way: when the Miami Dolphins signed Jake Long for $57.5 million last year as first pick in the NFL draft, he was not a proven talent; he was, by definition, a rookie. How did the Dolphins know they had picked the right man?

    It was ...