Jump to content

How likely are English teams to meet in the CL quarters


Singapore Saint

Recommended Posts

Done some calculations on how likely the English teams are to be drawn against each other in the Champions League quarter-finals:

 

Probability of AT LEAST 2 English teams meeting each other in the CL quarter-finals = 3/7 + 4/7 x 2/5 + 4/7 x 3/5 x 1/3 = 77.1%

 

Probability of ALL 4 English teams MEETING each other in the quarter-finals = 3/7 x 1/5 = 8.57%

 

Probability of ALL 4 English teams AVOIDING each other in the quarter-finals = 4/7 x 3/5 x 2/3 x 1/1 = 22.9%

 

Probability of LIVERPOOL being drawn against either Man Utd or Man City = 2/7 = 28.6%

 

Assumption: Draw is entirely random.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Done some calculations on how likely the English teams are to be drawn against each other in the Champions League quarter-finals:

 

Probability of AT LEAST 2 English teams meeting each other in the CL quarter-finals = 3/7 + 4/7 x 2/5 + 4/7 x 3/5 x 1/3 = 77.1%

 

Probability of ALL 4 English teams MEETING each other in the quarter-finals = 3/7 x 1/5 = 8.57%

 

Probability of ALL 4 English teams AVOIDING each other in the quarter-finals = 4/7 x 3/5 x 2/3 x 1/1 = 22.9%

 

Probability of LIVERPOOL being drawn against either Man Utd or Man City = 2/7 = 28.6%

 

Assumption: Draw is entirely random.

 

Really fascinating stuff.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

more important and relevant to most Saints fans is we will play Dinamo Zagreb at St Mary's in International Cup Semi Final

 

https://southamptonfc.com/news/2019-03-14/premier-league-international-cup-semi-final-draw-southampton-dinamo-zagreb

 

We should fill the place to roar them on - probably scare the whatsit out of them playing in front of 30,000 home fans.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Man City have got Barca

Too risky for Barca. They'll be coddled into the semis at least.

 

Hopefully it’s Spurs v Liverpool, then at least one of the c*nts will go out.

Sounds like a plan. :thumbup: With City or Barca waiting for the winner in the semis.

 

Warm up those balls.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 English teams through to the quarters of Europe, when's the last time that happened?

 

1971 apparently.

 

anyway draw been made. i do think its slightly suspicious how the 4 favourites for the trophy have been kept apart, if i was a conspiracist.

 

Ajax vs Juve

Liverpool vs Porto

Spurs vs City

Barcelona vs Man United

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1971 apparently.

 

anyway draw been made. i do think its slightly suspicious how the 4 favourites for the trophy have been kept apart, if i was a conspiracist.

 

Ajax vs Juve

Liverpool vs Porto

Spurs vs City

Barcelona vs Man United

 

Wouldn't personally call Porto one of the favorites.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

View Terms of service (Terms of Use) and Privacy Policy (Privacy Policy) and Forum Guidelines ({Guidelines})