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Thread: How likely are English teams to meet in the CL quarters

  1. Default How likely are English teams to meet in the CL quarters

    Done some calculations on how likely the English teams are to be drawn against each other in the Champions League quarter-finals:

    Probability of AT LEAST 2 English teams meeting each other in the CL quarter-finals = 3/7 + 4/7 x 2/5 + 4/7 x 3/5 x 1/3 = 77.1%

    Probability of ALL 4 English teams MEETING each other in the quarter-finals = 3/7 x 1/5 = 8.57%

    Probability of ALL 4 English teams AVOIDING each other in the quarter-finals = 4/7 x 3/5 x 2/3 x 1/1 = 22.9%

    Probability of LIVERPOOL being drawn against either Man Utd or Man City = 2/7 = 28.6%

    Assumption: Draw is entirely random.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Singapore Saint View Post
    Done some calculations on how likely the English teams are to be drawn against each other in the Champions League quarter-finals:

    Probability of AT LEAST 2 English teams meeting each other in the CL quarter-finals = 3/7 + 4/7 x 2/5 + 4/7 x 3/5 x 1/3 = 77.1%

    Probability of ALL 4 English teams MEETING each other in the quarter-finals = 3/7 x 1/5 = 8.57%

    Probability of ALL 4 English teams AVOIDING each other in the quarter-finals = 4/7 x 3/5 x 2/3 x 1/1 = 22.9%

    Probability of LIVERPOOL being drawn against either Man Utd or Man City = 2/7 = 28.6%

    Assumption: Draw is entirely random.
    Really fascinating stuff.

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    Very interesting but not saints related

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    Quote Originally Posted by ALWAYS_SFC View Post
    Very interesting but not saints related
    Nothing much is going to be for the next 2 and a bit weeks.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Singapore Saint View Post
    Assumption: Draw is entirely random.
    and that is where it all falls down.

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    Don’t care!

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    more important and relevant to most Saints fans is we will play Dinamo Zagreb at St Mary's in International Cup Semi Final

    https://southamptonfc.com/news/2019-...-dinamo-zagreb

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    Hot balls.

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    Quite frankly darling, I don't give a damn!

  10. #10

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    I wonder what the calculations are on Saints fans not giving a ****e?

  11. #11

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    As long as Liverpool win Jack,I don't care.

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    Don't give any ****s.

    How exactly did you think this thread would go down?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Hatch View Post
    and that is where it all falls down.
    Was it true that in the scottish cup they used to warm the Celtic and Rangers balls before the draw so that they could prevent them playing each other?

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    0% I thought they were not able to be drawn together before the semi.

  16. Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Nick75Sfc View Post
    0% I thought they were not able to be drawn together before the semi.
    They are, the rules have changed in that teams from the same nation are not kept apart as they used to be.

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    I would love Spurs to draw City with City at home 2nd leg and Spurs go out.

  18. #18

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    Quote Originally Posted by Hatch View Post
    and that is where it all falls down.
    Indeed.

    Barcelona vs. Porto
    Juventus vs. Ajax
    Eng. vs. Eng
    Eng. vs. Eng

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    Any news on the Saints vs Zagreb game?

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    Hopefully it’s Spurs v Liverpool, then at least one of the c*nts will go out.

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    Quote Originally Posted by oldsarum View Post
    more important and relevant to most Saints fans is we will play Dinamo Zagreb at St Mary's in International Cup Semi Final

    https://southamptonfc.com/news/2019-...-dinamo-zagreb
    We should fill the place to roar them on - probably scare the whatsit out of them playing in front of 30,000 home fans.

  22. #22

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dark Munster View Post
    Indeed.

    Barcelona vs. Porto
    Juventus vs. Ajax
    Eng. vs. Eng
    Eng. vs. Eng
    Man City have got Barca

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    6 English teams through to the quarters of Europe, when's the last time that happened?

  24. #24

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    Quote Originally Posted by whelk View Post
    Man City have got Barca
    Too risky for Barca. They'll be coddled into the semis at least.

    Quote Originally Posted by aintforever View Post
    Hopefully it’s Spurs v Liverpool, then at least one of the c*nts will go out.
    Sounds like a plan. With City or Barca waiting for the winner in the semis.

    Warm up those balls.

  25. #25

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jonnyboy View Post
    6 English teams through to the quarters of Europe, when's the last time that happened?
    Today?

  26. #26

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    Quote Originally Posted by hackedoff View Post
    As long as Liverpool win Jack,I don't care.
    Did you mistype that or would you really be pleased to see VD win it?

    Anyone but a team with VD in it, or Spurs, is preferable to me.

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    I don’t care who wins the CL as long as it’s not Liverpool, Tottenham or ManU.........

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jonnyboy View Post
    6 English teams through to the quarters of Europe, when's the last time that happened?
    1971 apparently.

    anyway draw been made. i do think its slightly suspicious how the 4 favourites for the trophy have been kept apart, if i was a conspiracist.

    Ajax vs Juve
    Liverpool vs Porto
    Spurs vs City
    Barcelona vs Man United

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    Quote Originally Posted by nta786 View Post
    1971 apparently.

    anyway draw been made. i do think its slightly suspicious how the 4 favourites for the trophy have been kept apart, if i was a conspiracist.

    Ajax vs Juve
    Liverpool vs Porto
    Spurs vs City
    Barcelona vs Man United
    Wouldn't personally call Porto one of the favorites.

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