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saint si

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Posts posted by saint si

  1. Probably not accurate at all, given that those figures state 6300 people died on Wednesday and Thursday, so given the current trajectory would estimate around 4300 on Saturday using those figures, which would be more than the reported figures of actual deaths to date!

     

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-51989183

     

     

     

    Again, the biggest issue is with how the deaths are reported - in most cases it looks like they are reported as having died from Covid 19 if they test positive for the virus post mortem. In Germany they have been reporting (not sure if they still are), the 'underlying causes' as the reason whether they test positive or not which has kept their figures low. Given that there is a natural mortality rate this would seem sensible as clearly the more people who get infected and spread the virus, the more people will test positive post mortem....

     

    Looks right to me. The figures given are cumulative deaths, not daily.

     

    Italy 19 March, 3405: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-51964307

    Italy 18 March, "almost 3000": https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-51952712

    Italy 10 March, 631: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/03/italy-coronavirus-quarantine-live-updates-200309234533285.html

    Italy, 5 March, 148: http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/nuovocoronavirus/dettaglioNotizieNuovoCoronavirus.jsp?lingua=italiano&menu=notizie&p=dalministero&id=4157

     

    UK, 19 March, 144: https://www.itv.com/news/2020-03-19/number-coronavirus-deaths-cases-england-uk-rise-nhs-128/

     

    etc etc

  2. the fact Parliament rejected it 3 times... suggests it was an awful deal

     

    Yay parliament fulfilling their constitutional role of holding the executive to account!

     

    I believe Boris Johnson wants a deal and with out Parliament tying his hands I think he'd get one

     

    Boo parliament just getting in the way of the executive!

  3. The ability of some of our fans to appraise the quality of our players (and that of other teams in the league) is laughable sometimes. We don't have a single player in our first 11 who isn't capable of starting for atleast one other prem team. Most of our team would start for most of the bottom half of the table comfortably. That means it is PL calibre. Also what is this list, it includes Djenepo and Ings who have had 2 good games this season each and misses out our best players. Redmond is an excellent player and would start for anyone outside the top 6 (and probably united nowadays, definitely better than Lingard), as is Bednarek. JWP too is comfortably prem quality. Gotta assume from that list that you have been a fan for all of 5 games, judging by how ridiculously short term that list is, and if so, welcome!

     

    200 (almost) premier league appearances at 24 pretty much makes JWP the definition of a premier league quality player. People have tendency to look at the best players as the benchmark of what is "PL calibre", instead of looking at the mediocre/worst players.

  4. You raise a good point and there is no reason why we can’t discuss the issue about lying about a vasectomy. Why is the point I brought up weird and disturbing? It follows the truncated discussion about the Evans case. Given that a number thought that Evans was hard done by surely it was and is worth discussing the whole consent thing?

     

    "Hard done by". What, the guy that had his conviction quashed after spending 2 and a half years in prison? That guy?

  5. Unforgettable experience and night....

     

    Lost phone, £200 cash and apple airpods but still loved every minute of that.

     

    3 hours sleep and over 1,200 miles traveled and my only regret is that the forum PM boys didn't have the bottle to at least say hi. Was looking forward to meeting my fanclub :lol:

     

    Met lad from Towie show (itv) who claims to be Ings brother? Is that legit?

     

    But how much did your bet on 4-0 and Ings first to score land you? Probably made up for the losses?

  6. They came out fast as you'd expect, but superior premier league fitness and ability showed through. For long periods of the second half we were happy to just slow it down.

     

    And we must NEVER shut up about this result regardless that they will say they were unlucky and how it's all not fair because we are in the prem so have a super-expensive squad. They beat us 4-1 in 2010 in similar circumstances and we absolutely battered them first half, and then their expensively assembled team bankrupted them.

  7. As I said, Boris and Co are playing a blinder. Dominic Cummings to-do list is:

    1. Get rid of the traitors in the party
    2. Replace sheep in wolves clothing with loyal Conservatives
    3. Unify the party
    4. Call an election
    5. Message: The People vs Parliament
    6. Arrange a deal with Nigel
    7. Taunt a divided Marxist dominated Labour, joke of a party during the run up
    8. Win a substantial majority
    9. Go to the EU with a freedom charter
    10. Watch Corbyn, Labour and the EU project sink without a trace

    Winter is Coming

     

    How does he do #2 before #4?

     

    and what the hell is a freedom charter?

  8. Technology will never be that accurate for offside.

     

    Wrong. It's not even that much a particularly hard problem compared to some things AI can do or almost do already (e.g. driving a car). Given the enthusiasm with which football (and sport in general) is now embracing technology, it's a no brainer, just a question of time. Be surprised if there aren't already tech demos.

     

    Using it for penalty decisions or fouls is not appropriate.

     

    Tend to agree, other than on points of fact (i.e. did it hit the hand, not the intent behind the arm position; was it in the box or not)

     

    There is a more general principle which some will not agree with that the laws of football should apply consistently across all levels of the game.

     

    Nice principle and would agree, but practical reality is different. Refs are anyway going to be better (including being fitter and better able to keep up with play) at top end of the game. There is also counter argument that the more important the match, the more important that the correct decisions are made.

  9. Of course it's imprecise. If the attacker is on one side of the pitch and the defender is on the other and the camera's position is not dead square then you haven't a hope in hell of getting a correct decision on a tight call. No amount of computer-generated lines is going to help you. The offside law was not written to be interpreted by a computer game. It needs a rapid, on the pitch decision in order to keep the game flowing.

     

    VAR is a sledgehammer to crack a puff of smoke.

     

    I know you think refs are infallible and everything, but the precision of the law itself is a point of fact. It's not like in certain other laws where there is some level of opinion - i.e. "considered by the referee".

     

    Now you're trying to say that the cameras are inaccurate. Well sure, if they're not placed or calibrated correctly, but that's about measurement, not about definition.

     

    And keeping the game flowing is a different topic entirely. If VAR was instantaneously decided based on a 100% accurate AI (probably that is anyway less than 10 years away), would that change your view?

  10. You’d be amazed at what you can see if your position is correct. The amount that a player moves within the fraction of a second that it takes is minimal. As I have said before, it’s not a precise law and with the best instrumentation in the world it never will be.

     

    It is a precise law. The imprecision is down to humans having to make decisions in fractions of a second, with attackers, defenders and the ball all moving. Like it or not, VAR is bringing the precision as defined by the law. All the bleating about tight offside decisions that were actually correctly given through use of VAR (England vs Cameroon) is because players are used to the imprecision.

     

    "The amount a player moves ... is minimal"... yes, but minimal is more than nothing and that's enough to make the difference between onside and offside, especially when played at the pace and fine margins of the professional game.

     

    Handballs and penalties though, that's a whole different discussion about "unnatural" positions.

  11. I think we should be able to be free to buy medicine, equipment, from anywhere in the world that is able to give us a competitors rate.

     

    Buy from the UK of that is cheapest.

    Buy from the EU if that is cheapest.

    Buy from Asia if that's cheapest.

    Buy from the USA if that's cheapest.

     

    As long as the NHS stays free at the point of Access and standard of care is the best possible then we spend taxpayers money, as wisely as possible with people across the globe.

     

    Is called free trade for a reason.

     

    So much like we can today then? Other than the bit where we have a significant risk of screwing it all up chasing a massively one sided trade deal with a protectionist superpower.

  12. This looks like a recipe for a hung parliament...

     

    2019-to-next-election-768x567.jpg

     

    Given that it would be suicide to go in to any kind of formal coalition with Farage, and Lib Dems unlikely to want to get in to bed with the Tories again any time soon, the likely outcome would be a "progressive" coalition with Libs/Labour/Greens, possibly propped up by SNP. Corbyn's worst left-wing instincts hopefully tempered by a more moderate influence.

     

    That would almost certainly lead us to a second referendum.

     

    Be a touch ironic if that's the main achievement of the Brexit party.

     

    Of course, it's quite unlikely that the next Tory leader will call a GE any time soon, knowing that they are going to get annihilated.

  13. I think it's fair.

    For example if someone cannons a ball at a defender from a yard away and hit his hand, it shouldn't be a penalty (assuming arms aren't in an unnatural position). If a 'keeper makes a save, the ball rebounds off an attackers hand, a yard away from the goal and goes in (even accidentally) it shouldn't count.

     

    See your point but still disagree. Preventing a goal and scoring a goal are both worth the same. Why is one allowed to happen accidentally and the other one isn't. How long will we keep playing for after an accidental handball by a striker to confirm that it didn't result in a goal?

     

    I guess anyway let's see how they get applied in practice, because - just like with the rest of the laws around fouls and handball - there will be some generally accepted interpretation of what is considered "handball" and we'll all still be arguing about it even with VAR to help.

     

    (e.g. Spurs' winning goal in the CL QFs against City)

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