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Posted (edited)
17 hours ago, benjii said:

I reckon 25 more points will get us 5th place, so we can afford to drop 8 points. 

Let's assume we lose against Coventry and Ipswich for the sake of argument, and draw with Wrexham. 

Means we need wins from:

WBA away

Norwich home

Oxford home

Derby home

Swansea home 

Bristol home 

Blackburn home

Preston away

When you look at the 'must win' fixtures you'd fancy our chances on a game by game basis but to win 8 out of 8? Not impossible but incredibly tight.

I do think we could get at least a point from Ipswich. We will need at least a draw with Wrexham.

A point not much talked about on here is that goal difference may also be crucial so we need to hammer the lesser teams as much as possible.

Wrexham's last 2 games are Cov(a)\Boro(h), our last 2 are Blackburn(h) and Preston(a).

Go into the last 2 games with at least +6 GD on Wrexham and I doubt they make that up, even if Cov\Boro are already guaranteed top 2. Hopefully they are not in which case Wrexham will be in trouble.

If it's that tight then GD is an extra point for us.

Edited by Cabrone

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