Hodgey

One thing for sure - we are going to need to keep Fatawu quiet. I’m just hoping that Tonda doesn’t think we need to rotate and go back to ‘no manning land’ against the best winger in this division.

So transfermkt (I know - but I think it’s a good steer) has our yearly transfer activity as 8 players in and 13 players out (excluding loans). Invested £60m in players and sold £145m. So net is 5 players less and £85m banked/owed. Then 9 players out on loan and 3 in. For me this shows where attention was spent - getting players out and reducing expenditure. Obviously this has come at the expense of having a team competing for promotion. But the figures are eye opening and show how much adjusting you need to do when relegated from the top flight (and I think we did similar last time round). For context Leicester banked £57m and Ipswich £30m so you can see the clear correlation of spend and performance. Most championship clubs were flat or c £6m swing either way. So the hope is that the hard work is done this year and we have saved a budget for a promotion challenge next year (more than that £6m). Worryingly you have 3 teams with US backing investing heavily - Wrexham £40m Birmingham £30m Swansea £15m. I see that continuing and unlike this season players will see at least two of those clubs as better bets than us, and of course we’d be behind the 3 relegated teams (Burnley you could argue). In short we are going to need to be much more focussed on acquisitions and punch above our resources in finding the right players. It’s the striker issue that really worries me. When Ipswich’s highly competent manager is quoted as being unable to find anyone better than Hirst for a team gunning for promotion, we are going to have our work cut out (and we’ve not exactly got a great track record here)

His record is good, the issue was how long it took him to admit his system had been found out and to go to 4 at the back. He’s also been badly let down by recruitment, Bree clearly our best right back yet we turf him out and fail twice to find anyone better. Also I noted how much fitter and stronger he looked at 90m compared to the rest of them. Whilst it is great we suffer from less injuries, I think he’s listening too much to the analysts. Not much good having uninjured players if they are bullied for last 30m every game - also didn’t we have a massive squad ? Surely this year should have been the one we could risk injuries a bit more.. At least after 4 years looks like they have finally sorted the gk position (still not sorted cf though). in all seriousness, whilst top 6 looks beyond us, if Tonda keeps improving - is willing to make the right changes (quicker), should we give him another season ? - we’ve invested in him learning this….

Give credit to Tonda - he must have hated going to a back 4. The reality is though that the formation change won him that game, the extra midfielder meant we won that battle starving Utd of providing their two forwards with anything. As an added bonus it also stopped the easy ball back or sideways. a big foreward really gives us a different dimension (and frankly us table stakes in this league) and must be priority one for next seasons hopeful promotion push. Thought the keeper looked better than previously - seems a lot calmer and I think is improving following little football l Tonda out ? I’m now wobbling - he’s bought himself a few more games but any more 5 at the back slow sideways shite and he must go.

No-manning-land !. That made me lol - brilliant (and sadly very true), I’m definitely using that one in future

Baz has been fine last few games in terms of shot stopping and it was a very good save yesterday which got us a point, as did his save last game. That needs to be the benchmark though not the exception (ie Rushworth will do a couple of those every game). But credit due to him. Command of the box also needs work - for that Jelert corner I’d like to have seen him be much more aggressive - he needs a ‘in this box anything I say goes’ attitude and take full responsibility - I get the impression he doubts himself a bit so is reluctant to take that full responsibility - as such defenders are taking it for him. Hopefully this comes with confidence. I’ve got no problem with Baz as a number 2 competing for the shirt - which is where he currently is at this level. In the meantime it’s his shirt to lose whilst the new gk gets settled.

Couldn’t agree more on coaching resource. It’s always baffled me why when you pay £50k a week on players you wouldn’t have as many specialists as needed to bring the best out of them. Our coaching set up is extremely light / inexperienced, there is talent there but they’ve been found out by the scores of coaches / analysts most clubs now have and need support. Couldn’t disagree more on the another season in the champ though. We got battered in the Prem as we went into it with no director of football (unbelievably thought we could get away with ‘sharing that out’ to a load of nobodies in the toughest league in the world), cheap and horrendous transfers strategy, and a manager who refused to be pragmatic despite his system clearly needing better players than the opposition. Look at Sunderland if you don’t think staying up from the play offs is achievable - is there any real reason we couldn’t do the same ?? Next season I’d fancy at least 5 teams with parachute payments - 2 of whom likely to be established Prem clubs - next season will be harder to get out of that this - anyone half decent we have will go to the Prem (Jander, Scienza and Charles, maybe Fellows too) no point holding your powder dry - get a gk, get an out and cf, get the coaching team we need early Jan. We just need to get 6th and be on an upward trajectory when we get it.

I think we need to give him a big striker who can hold the ball up. He is a one trick pony, but that trick could be good enough with the talent he has. Where it has fallen apart is when teams press our creative players forcing us to go long to Armstrong who will always lose it. pressure then mounts and we defend deeper and deeper. So whilst a better gk is important, having a striker who can hold the ball up is much more important. Now everyone can see this, and I’ve heard it’s Tondas big ask so let’s see if our board geniuses will give Tonda what they didn’t give (despite them wanting it) Ralph and Still, to maximise what he has.

I mentioned this on the Preston thread who also had handy loans. Seems baffling that we haven’t looked at Prem loans for our weak areas, especially given that was why we went up last time. And it was a deliberate strategy, but completely non-sensical, about the cost of then firming them up. Instead we have loaned a 3rd choice gk we have zero intention of playing and a right back from Turkey we don’t seem to fancy.

For me this game showed where we are - top two teams are utterly ruthless with opportunities, we aren’t. I do think we have enough in us to be top 6 though - and frankly it doesn’t really matter if that is 3rd or 6th. The game reinforced what we already know. Whilst Baz actually had a decent game, if you swap those two keepers the result is different - we put some really testing corners in and their keeper responded every time. Also we still have no out and out striker - even the commentators were baffled why we put Fellows on when we never put players in the box when he crossed. Archer needs to go in Jan too. There is a player there but he’s completely wrong for our tactics. Best for all to part ways.

Aside from Millwall that was the first real test for Eckert. WBA changed their tactics in the second half and we had no answer, it was a bit of a battering, subs were irrelevant as it started from 45m In the end he won the game, so you could argue it was a conscious choice not to change and believe we would hit them on the break and score again, but frankly that didn’t look likely. We have a weakness against teams who cross balls into big forwards as our cbs are not commanding in the air. Tonda saw this coming and played Quarshie who is too raw, Edward’s and Stephen’s are even worse in the air - in Jan we need a Ben Mee type experienced thug. Agree we need a good def left back too as Manning gets tired and when Leo goes off he loses protection. He also needs a new set piece coach in his team. Get a specialist in as every WBA corner was basically a header at goal.

I genuinely think he is improving last few games. I’d still rank him as a lower half Championship keeper, but previously he was a league one gk. Still worries me with his positioning and he’s way too quiet. I’ve seen defenders call for him to get the ball and he should be bellowing at them and claiming it or telling them to stfu as it’s his call. Hopefully this comes with confidence

I like this game I’m going to add Stephen Crainy - absolutely dreadful left back even if he was free. In terms of value I’d also like to add Larios - £7m totally wasted and Diallo - £12m for someone with no obvious talent whatsoever, and of course Annonymousi - our Tadic replacement who was a winger who was slow, uncreative, weak and a complete inability to beat a player.

2 days to prep a team - was always going to play 3 cbs (as do the 21s). Despite a poor performance in a poor game he comes out with credit. Stephens was the right choice, obvious flaws but he is a communicator and fighter, also right to give him the captaincy (and Edwards deserved to be dropped) Robinson was also the right choice, he’s raw but him and Scienza are both direct and give defenders something to think about. Not all positive though, the subs were awful and put us on the back foot and tactically he had no answer to the momentum shift. Baz ? He’s not good enough to be a top 6 gk in this league, but then again neither is McCarthy. There must be potential in there, City are no mugs, so giving him time when realistically we aren’t going up or down kind of makes sense in a sink or swim scenario. I do wonder though if SR put pressure on him to play expensive younger players such as Baz and Downs to try and protect their investment. If he wins Sat he becomes joint most wins behind Martin under SR leadership - so there’s that !

Went yesterday and thought I’d wait to post. The most concerning thing was we are simply doing the same thing so teams know how to beat us, and that thing isn’t exactly threatening in the first place. These teams we are playing are just average, Preston played some tidy stuff but they are clearly a limited squad, however they are very well coached. That brings me onto Still, do we think if we swopped managers for that game the result would be the same ? Sadly I don’t so as a club we need to make a decision, we are not going up this season so do we think Still can learn enough this year to be a force next ?. If that is the thinking I guess leaving him in until Christmas makes sense, would still give an incoming manager half a season to change momentum. Now the players. There are some basics in football every club aims for - firstly a spine, without a competent gk and cf we don’t have one. In the championship power and pace - we even acknowledged this pre-season yet Preston were far more powerful and aggressive than us. Then attitude and mental resilience - now I accept this teams confidence must be on its arse, but I look around the players and they are not encouraging each other at all, Armstrong isn’t a captain but seems to be the best we have. Then you want partnerships - pick your best partnerships (not players) and let them develop a relationship (ie cbs, fb and wg, cms etc) if you keep chopping and changing that can’t happen. Finally pick formation that gets the best out of the players you have - I don’t believe 5-2-3 is it. Finally i noted Preston’s best players were all on loan - it’s interesting that we decided not to go down that route. I get the history (we had to spend £50m to stay still) but ultimately the only reason we went up last time was due to those loans. For example Dobbin looked a right handful, compared to Damien Downs - should we have got him rather than spend millions on a project ?. The saddest thing of all was the apathy - I’ll admit I wasn’t particularly looking fwd to the game, I am a bit older now so thought it was just age, but what has been and continues to be served up on the pitch has just numbed fans. I went to the Northam bar before and I like what the club is doing - live music, quick(ish) drinks and food, footy to watch and the best atmosphere of the day !. Now if they had won or played well then people would celebrate there again post match, but it was empty (rightly so). We have to start getting some of these big decisions right now, we could easily change momentum this year and mount a proper challenge next, but sports republic need to do much much better. That starts with finding football people who have a plan they can execute - now they did this once with Wilcox and Martin (but then decided when Wilcox left that we didn’t need a DOF in the most competitive league in the world) so it can be done.