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Everything posted by chrisobee
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Cheltenham Festival 19th March thread....one more day to endure!
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Are you Irish ? -
Cheltenham Festival 19th March thread....one more day to endure!
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Oh boy, this link should be a bl**dy sticky I've posted it so many times http://bet72.com/big-free-bet-list/ All the free bets you could want and advice elsewhere on the site as to how to make guaranteed profits though it's like shelling peas. Easy peasy ! -
Cheltenham Festival 19th March thread....one more day to endure!
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
A chicken nugget maybe ! No chicken nuggets, normal service resumed! -
Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Don't sound that surprised, just a matter of time after several placed horses !! -
Cheltenham Festival 19th March thread....one more day to endure!
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Lol, you clearly logged on to the site in the end. If anything else wins return = £0 ! -
Indeed, to quote Juve manager Alberto Zaccheroni after Inter beat Chelsea: “It was a great victory for Italian football, not just because it takes Serie A into the final eight and relaunches our sport on the international stage, but also in the way it was achieved. “We care a great deal – I underline, a great deal – about getting through to the next round. We cannot start making a list of what is more important, so we’ll face every game with extreme conviction.” On the whole Italian football is poor ( Man U v AC Milan for example as well as this).
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Preview.. Triumph Hurdle Not since Scolardy won in 2002 have the Irish bagged this race, but this year they have three of the first four in the betting. Of the Irish, Carlito Brigante might be the best. I can’t see why Alaivan is preferred in the betting, given the convincing tumping CB gave A when they met earlier in the year. I also wish Gavin the best of luck with his long range tickle, Westlin Winds, which has very good looking form now that Mille Chief is scratched from the race. (Alas for the horse, if he wins, everyone will say Mille Chief would have won, which is unkind at best and unfair at worst for Westlin). County Hurdle Back to the handicap hurdles, and the County used to be the last race on the card. As a get out stakes, it’s not great, so there’s a small mercy from the fact that it’s moved to earlier in the day (though that is somewhat mitigated by its replacement, the Grand Annual, being equally unfathomable!) Being a speed test, over two miles, five year olds have more than held their own over the last decade, and I’ll not look beyond the 5 and 6yo’s. Two that will be any price, and might run well in a wide open contest, are Secret Dancer and William Hogarth. The former has Grade 2 placed form here from earlier in the season, and as a lightly raced sort (just five hurdles runs) might be ahead of the handicapper here. 33/1 looks big (as short as 16’s elsewhere as I write). The latter is more speculative, but still interesting. He’s a maiden after nine hurdles runs, but has finished second no less than five times. He was only just pipped by Secret Dancer behind Loosen My Load in that aforementioned Grade 2, and looks sure to run his race again. Although he’ll probably find one (or two) too good, 10/1 a place is fair enough. Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle The form points to Tell Massini for the Brits, and Enterprise Park for the Irish. The race has gone to form horses so far in its five renewals, and it might be profligate to look for a dark horse here. Tell Massini has two wins here, including one over three miles last time in a Grade 2, and that’s my idea of the winner. Simples? Gold Cup Kauto Star the best three mile chaser ever? He travels like a dream for three full miles. But then he relies on his class to supplant gas in the last knockings of a race. This season, Kauto was breathtaking in the King George, over a flat three miles. The undulating nuanced New Course at Cheltenham is a far greater stamina test than the speed and grace of Kempton’s perfect oval. And it is this which will be the fly in the ointment for Kauto fans. If Kauto Star is pressurised more than a mile from the finish, he may come up dry in the last desperate exchanges. It is a vast ‘if’. Denman... recently, dodgy Denman? Having gone seventeen races without a letter next to his name, Denman now has a U and an F in the form column. Is this a literal case of ‘how are the mighty fallen’? Or is it just a dramatic blip in the Hollywood life story of racing’s most belligerent bully? Then there’s the weather and the track watering policy. On good ground, Kauto is unlikely to be pushed beyond his stamina limitations. On softish sod, he might well get rumbled. The forecast is for rain, possibly heavy rain, but not until Thursday night. If the rain doesn’t come, the track will be dangerously fast. Although the course management would never dare put the word ‘firm’ in the going description, check the race times and draw your own conclusions… So they can’t afford to gamble, and the watering has begun. By Thursday night, when the rain may or may not arrive, the track will have been sprinkled to maintain the perennial (and occasionally correct) going recording of ‘good to soft’. Heavy overnight rain would surely move it to soft, which would compromise Kauto’s odds on status. Denman however is no formality, even on soggy ground. His jumping, as mentioned, has been a bit hit and miss: and you can’t afford to hit them or miss them in the Gold Cup. But a repeat of his Newbury perseverance, or of his 2008 verdict here, would likely be enough on muddy ground. As always in races of more than two horses that get billed as a match, there remains the possibility that one or both key protagonists fail to deliver on the day, and we look for an unlikely impostor to win out. I can’t have Cooldine. Let me say that clearly, right now. I don’t think he’s good enough, and I don’t think he stays well enough (remember Florida Pearl in the same ownership?) That single (offensively?) dismissive line brings me to Imperial Commander, who has some tip top form in the book. He has also had a remarkable nine of his sixteen races here, including four wins from his last five tries. The last time he raced here, he won the Ryanair Chase a year ago. But, and it’s a big butt (think Oprah in her depressed days), he’s not won beyond the Ryanair distance of 2m5f. Fully half a mile further in the Gold Cup must be a huge concern. All of this elimination brings us to Tricky Trickster. This horse stays. He seems to jump quite well too. Although he’s a novice, he does have a chance here. But I’d be against him in the Grand National. If he has any hope of winning going to the last, he’ll be ‘bottomed’ (have his energy reserves firmly tested), and there’s only three weeks before the National. No. Chance. At Aintree. One outsider worthy of mention is Carruthers. A fine jumper, and a decent stayer, he comes here in very good form and might just be each-way value at 50/1. Better yet, you can have 12/1 without the big two, and still get a quarter the odds 1-2-3. That looks a great wager. Hopefully, Carruthers will finish third, a respectful distance behind the tussling titans. My preference is clear, and for Denman, but this is a sentimentalist rather than a scientific selection. Foxhunters’ Chase It is truly one of sport’s great ’sublime to ridiculous’ moments that the Blue Riband of the equine sporting calendar is followed immediately by the frantic mime artistry of so many bad jockeys on so many bad horses. Again, look to the best jocks and the safest jumping horses. And look for recent form and stamina. Bob Hall has Festival form, is on a four-timer and has a decent pilot in Mr A J Berry. 33/1 is tempting. Drybrook Bedouin won here in May over 3m2f, and 33’s is too big again. He was put up as a strong fancy by one of the bookies’ point-to-point men as well. Baby Run was third in the race last year, and has one of the best riders in the race. He comes here in form, and must go close again. 8/1 is reasonable if not great value. And finally, Roulez Cool has been grabbed from France, been running in points, and might just blitz the lot of ‘em. But 3/1 reflects that distinct possibility and, in a race full of schoolboy errors, I’d sooner project 33/1 shots than 3/1 shots. Martin Pipe Conditionals’ Handicap Hurdle Almost there, but it’s a fiendishly difficult run in, with the apprentices replacing the amateurs, and sub-plots aplenty in the script. I’ve short-cutted this, as it makes no sense to write a lot on a subject about which I know very little. Mullins is my man, and Hampshire Express, if he gets a run, is my horse. If not, look for improvement from Pipe’s pair, Ashkazar and Buena Vista, in his dad’s race. Grand Annual (Handicap Chase) If only this was the Arkle! Both Tataniano and French Opera carried my money for the two mile novice race, and both have been elected for this instead, which is curious given the eminent ‘winnability’ of the earlier contest. I definitely feel that the Opera would have been in the first three in the Arkle, but of course that’s idle (and cheap) conjecture on my part. To the Grand Annual, the last of the 26 Cheltenham Festival races of 2010, and let’s get ourselves out of a hole, or up like never before. First of all, French Opera has it all to do off 11-12, as every one of the last ten winners carried at least a stone less than that. (Another reason why I believe Henderson got it wrong in plumping for this race.) A glimpse of recent form and a relative lack of exposure are two key attributes here, as in many of the handicaps where trainers are attempting to hide their charges’ respective lights under a battery of bushels. By contrast, Tataniano has had a very public preamble to this race and, although carrying a couple of pounds more than ideal, he should go close if his jumping stands up. Or if he stands up with his jumping. Whatever. You get my drift! A couple that fit the ‘low key prep’ bill lower down, however, are Matuhi and Safari Journey. And I really like the latter. Philip Hobbs came into the Festival in brilliant form, and underlined that in the very first race, when he rolled over Dunguib with his 12/1 chance Menorah. And I reckon he has a great chance of topping and tailing the meeting with victory here. Beaten just four lengths behind French Opera here at Chelters last time on soft ground, the faster surface will definitely play to his strengths and, if you give the Opera a chance, then you have to give this guy a chance too, at 2.5 times the price! Matuhi is any price, because he might well not get in (he needs twelve to come out as I write). If he does make the cut, he might be very interesting. He’s a novice, as four of the last ten winners were, and has just the one win to his name, when he beat The Package (2nd and just failed to get up in the William Hill Trophy on Tuesday). Since then, he’s run two nice third places behind decent sorts. He does make mistakes which, while acceptable from a lightly raced novice such as himself, would prove costly here. But, at the price and granted a run, I’d take a small chance on him in this.
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Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Speechless ....... 2.40 Voy Por Ustedes stevo Nowhere Schindlers Hunt chrisobee Fell Deep Purple chrisobee 4th- Poquelin Bungle/ Cato/ Lebane 2nd Barbers Shop Stevo's mate/chrisobee Nowhere -
Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Never in it, finished 13th. -
Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Going try a small ew bet on Sentry Duty at 3,20, been well tipped up. -
Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
But of course 2nd at 16/1 -
Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Yep, normal service resumed! 2.05 Ballyfitz stevo Ainama chrisobee Smoking Aces chrisobee/Stevo's mate Don't Push it Bungle Alfie Sherrin Cato Not even an ew amongst them ! -
Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Still 5 more races, plenty of fallers, sorry I mean winners to come! -
Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Why oh why did you not back it ? You backed nearly everything else !! -
Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Join the queue -
Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Hurray !! -
Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Which must be why best price now is 20/1, only 14's with Corals. -
Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
2 more small bets: 2.40 Barbers Shop @6/1 4.00 Watch My Back @ 8/1 ( Sorry Cato but serves you right for backing Boychuk !) 2 win singles + ew double -
Lol, I'm glad there is at least one person as bad as me, in fact two as Bungle lives up to his name ! Oh, and don't mention WH to Bungle, trying to open an account and get a £60 free bet is proving mission impossible for him.
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Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Oh no, I'm doomed -
Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Damn you !! -
Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Best backed horses so far today : Poquelin Cheltenham 14:40 Hello Bud Cheltenham 16:40 Smoking Aces Cheltenham 14.05 At least we have 2/3 covered, Hello Bud anyone !? -
Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Ok, so far we have : 1.30 Dave's Dreams Saint Stevo Nicanor stevo Working Title stevo China Rock chrisobee Hey Big Spender chrisobee Copper Bleu Bungle/ Stevo's mate ! Rivaliste Cato So 7/20 runners 2.05 Ballyfitz stevo Ainama chrisobee Smoking Aces chrisobee/Stevo's mate Don't Push it Bungle Alfie Sherrin Cato Only 5/24, no chance ! 2.40 Voy Por Ustedes stevo Schindlers Hunt chrisobee Deep Purple chrisobee Poquelin Bungle/ Cato/ Lebane Barbers Shop Stevo's mate/chrisobee 5/13 Could find the winner 3.20 Lie Forrit Stevo Karabak chrisobee/Cato Big Bucks Bungle/ Stevo's mate Sentry Duty Cato /chrisobee Time for Rupert KK /Lebane 5/14 Maybe !? 4.00 Mister McGoldrick Stevo I'm So Lucky chrisobee Jayo chrisobee Victoria's Groom Bungle Private Be Stevo's mate Watch My Back Cato Sunnyhillboy Cato Watch My Back chrisobee 7/26- odds against methinks ! 4.40 Imoncloudnine Stevo Ballabriggs chrisobee Boychuk chrisobee Galant Nuit Bungle Isn't That Lucky Stevo's mate 5/24 Slim to no chance ! Plus 3 others I mentioned, no one has backed any of them !! 2.05 Prince Erik @ around 12/1 2.40 Planet Of Sound @ 14/1 4.00 Song Of Songs @ 10/1 -
Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
Good idea, amazing ! -
Cheltenham Festival 18th March thread....Oh no !
chrisobee replied to chrisobee's topic in General Sports
I'm still on, what bet do you want