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Posts
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Everything posted by chrisobee
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No real harm done, Avalon Bay ran Ok. Filippo Lippi got caught close home but 2nd at 8/1 ( I got just over 2/1 the place on BF) meant that was break even. I swear though only McCoy could have got Filippo Lippi anywhere near winning, a great ride even if just pipped. Lutine Bell made all, easy winner. Chris
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Yep a pretty good day, I should post lots of gibberish masquerading as analysis more often Credit where it is due though : Sir Cato: Nice going too, thanks for putting me off Dylanesque but onto a small forecast on Memory/Soraaya. Good going, in many ways though I would have been happy with reversed placings ( despite having a decent win bet on Memory as well) given Bungle was on Soraaya ). Nice win for us both with Music Show Frankie : Only one winner but when it is 9/1 that'll do nicely especially in the lucky last, boy was it tight though ! Bungle : Nearly a nice shout with Soraaya, I'm guessing you went win only with only 7 runners ? Overall 1.30 I did swerve Dylanesque and rightly so, horses from stalls 1-3 in 1st 3 places and Alice Alleyne the only one I picked out as a danger but also didn't back but would have gone ew had I done but would have been a small bet so not a problem ! 2.00 A tough race that was to call though I was pleased with my main selection Gene Autrey, ran well in 3rd at 10/1 so no complaints 2.35 Memory/Soraaya Finally the Cato jinx might be laid to rest Nice work my new friend !! 3.10 Music Show- won nicely at 13/2 so definitely Sir Cato is no longer the jinx, it might have to be Frankie again lol 3.45 Would have been surprised if anyone saw Native Khan winning. Again happy enough with Bowermaster, 3rd but ran his race. 4.20 Cotton Mill @66/1, need I say more! 5.30 Suited and Booted ended the day nicely, had an inkling this might win when Frankie backed it ! Same again tomorrow !? Chris
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Me neither, now I do believe in miracles:D
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"Wayne Rooney has been named the ugliest player in the World Cup, according to a dating website to which only beautiful people can belong." That suggests very strongly you are right, what a load of horlicks!
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Blimey, there is loads of competition as well !
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That's amazing, he must have a crystal ball. I want it just for one day:D
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I thought the loss of Muller might return to haunt them, Germany had pressure but not many clear chances.
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Sorry, but I still want Spain to win:D
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Yesssssss, come on Spain !!
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Yes, it is amazing !
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That was the point I was going to make. No matter how much money we have we do need to allow young players to come through so I'm not in favour of buying cover players if it restricts home grown talent. That really does seem the trend for our signings, I'm confident it will continue. Pretty much like all of you I'd like a very good CM and striker. If that was the end of our transfer activity I'd be more than happy. In 1977/78 we signed Boyer ( a direct replacement for MC), Nichol and Pickering. Alan Ball had been signed in Jan 1977 I believe. 3 of the 4 plenty good enough for the top flight, Pickering not quite that standard but very good in Div 2 and formed a very good partnership with Nichol.
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No coincidence Bally was key to our 1977/78 promotion, don't quite expect that sort of quality though
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Now I can say easy, easy
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Really though we shouldn't laugh at injured players:lol: Just really need to get rid of van Jaarsveld but Kent are still 181 runs behind, no rain in the offing there I hope. Quite gloomy here.
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Shame Amjad Khan is carrying an injury, I assume he will bat but can't be helpful. We aren't really going to win though surely !!
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Still going great guns, 516/7 at lunch. Vince 57, Pothas 78, Ervine 39*, Cork 0 *
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Only laugh at your failures TBH Frankie, I'm in that kind of mood:D Chris
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Hmm, interesting race. CQ is clear favourite @ around 5/2
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Couple away from Newmarket : Ling 3.00 Avalon Bay : Small win bet at 13/2. 6.40 Worcs:4 Filippo Lippi in the 6.40 2 point win, 1 point place @ 10/1 Chris
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Actually in the 1.30 Dylanesque is on the drift so any bet will be placed late.
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Looking for a miracle I suspect:D I'm just playing for the hell of it, minimum stakes on the whole though Dylanesque might be my best bet, just a shame he runs in the 1st. I'll wait to see the GG's before placing a bet, at least the 1st four are on CH4.
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Oh boy, I wish I didn't know! Haven't a clue but just for the hell of it and based on little real analysis even though it would seem otherwise ! Appearances can be deceptive 1.30Selection: Dylanesque Danger: Alice Alleyne : A class 2 7f handicap for 3yo fillies kickstarts the meeting and I can’t help wondering where Clairvoyance is. This is just the type of race I’m looking for her to run in and she would have been a strong fancy of mine for it. Ah well there’s always Dylanesque. She’s a filly I’ve been following since her highly touted debut last August and was desperately unlucky to get caught on the line on her first run this season. The Michael Jarvis yard have been knocking the winners in of late and she should be in the shakeup. These fillies only handicaps are notoriously difficult to work out and there are plenty of dangers including the favourite Maid In Heaven. Her only recent defeat came on soft ground and she’s progessing well but she has been raised another 9lb since her last win and that might catch her out in this stronger contest. One who does look nicely handicapped is Don’t Tell Mary who drops to handicap company for the first time having run in Group contests since wnning the Hilary Needler by 4 lengths last May. At around 25/1 she could make the frame. But the one horse I’m really worried about is the bottom weight Alice Alleyne who in a Yarmouth maiden last season got beat a shorthead by Dylaneasque off level weights. She comes from the Sir Michael Stoute yard, has Ryan Moore on board and ran on strongly over 6f last time out. 2.00 Selections: Gene Autrey/Singeur ew Danger: Excellent Guest : Another 3yo handicap, this time over 6f, which doesn’t look any easier to solve than the first race. A lot of these runners contested a similar race on the same course back in May when Swilly Ferry won very nicely from Excellent Guest. That he wasn’t able to get competitive next time out suggests to me that the handicapper now has him in his grasp although 25/1 is a big price if you can forgive him that run in a big field handicap at York. I think the form of the Britannia handicap at Royal Ascot will prove to be very reliable over the coming months and Firebreak ran very well in that race. At 28/1 he could be interesting although he is taking a marked drop in trip. There are also a few last time out winners in the field who command respect not least of which is Gene Autrey from the Richard Hannon stable. Dropped in grade to a class 4 handicap last time out he won by 4 lengths and from a good draw will take all the beating. Kellys Eye is going for a 4 timer here having won a Grade 5/4/3 handicap in his last 3 runs but another 9lb for his last win makes this a very tough assignment. Deacon Blues also has an extra 9lb to shoulder after his win in an all aged handicap last time out where he defeated the reliable yardstick Angus Newz by 3 1/2 lengths. He comes here at the top of his game and from a low draw looks a worthy favourite. The one horse I can’t get away from though is the bottom weight Excellent Guest who has landed a plum draw in stall 1, didn’t stay the trip in the Britannia last time out and had previously run 2nd to Swilly Ferry in the Coral Sprint. How on earth he is 25/1 is beyond me. Now backed into best priced 20/1. However, I now also like Singeur so backing him too,Robin Bastiman trains this three year old colt who was third last time out at York. Frankie Detorri has been booked to ride him again and at a decent price he has a big place claim at least. 2.35 Selection: Memory Danger: Soraaya : The 2.35 looks good for Memory to follow up her Albany win at Royal Ascot. She’s a strong trends horse and at evens or better will be carrying some of my money. Mick Channon enjoys a lot of succes with his 2yo’s on the July course and his once raced Soraaya may be able to make the step up in class to chase Memory home. 3.10: Selection: Music Show Danger: The rest of the field ! : Onto the feature race of the day, the Falmouth Stakes. There’s plenty in this race I’ve done before and I’ve put Lillie Langtry in my list of horses to follow. The booking of Tom Queally on Special Duty could sway me towards her while I have a real niggling feeling that Spacious will win this as James Fanshawe has a great record in the race and she doesn’t have a lot to find on Windsor Forest form. Strawberrydaiquiri and Music Show are also horses I regularly back making it a real quandary for me. I could even make a case for the 50/1 outsider Lahaleeb. Obviously the best solution would be to not have a bet but longtime readers will also know that that isn’t an option! I wish Goldikova was running again as that would make it an easy decision. I’ll let my heart rule my head and go with Music Show despite saying I’ll never back her again. 3.45 Selection: Bowermaster Danger: Yair Hill : A 2yo race full of unknowns. Not my cup of tea at all! I guess Bowermaster will be popular along with the Hannon (won the race 3 times in the last 10 years) pair Enabling and Major Art. John Dunlop unleashed Elusive Pimpernel in this race last year and also won the race in 1996 with a top 2yo. Today he runs Yair Hill. There has been an almighty gamble on Bloodsweatandtears this morning but this is the first 2yo runner of the season from their small stable and he looks up against it here. 4.20 Selection: Short Break Danger: Mata Keranjang : The 3yo maiden revolves around the Group performer Mata Keranjang and whether he is just one of those horses who simply cannot win, no matter what the opposition is. I’d be prepred to take him on again and will be backing the Henry Cecil runner Short Break And then it gets worse with the final race at 5.30. If you’re wondering why there’s such a big gap between the last two races at Newmarket today it’s because they’ve decided to stick an Arab race on at 4.55. That should get the crowds in. I wonder if Kempton are taking note? Desperate ! 5.30 Selection: Directorship/Child of Mine ew : And finally a mile handicap for the older horses. I don’t have a clue here but I’ve had a lot of success over the years backing Keiren Fallon in these types of races and I’ll be having a small interest on Directorship. Also small ew bet Sweet Child of Mine. Good luck, I think we'll need it in bucket loads ! Chris