goodymatt

The Opta expected table has Hull 22nd on 38 points, easily the biggest over performing team this season. All this with transfer restrictions following staying up on the final day last season. Fair play to them.

Agreed. Although they have consistently over performed underlying stats all season, you do wonder if that could change between now and the end of the season. Our margin for error is very small.

I’d say our chances of reaching the playoffs are higher than 10%. Opta think 30.4% for Saints and 57.4% for Wrexham. Everyone else below us in the table predicted less than 9% chance. Feels very much like a 2 horse race for that 6th spot and we will need to win at Wrexham I think. Hull’s next 3 fixtures are tough, wonder if they will wobble. Ipswich win their games in hand and they are 2nd. Can see that last auto spot going to the final day. Wish they had done us a favour and beat Wrexham.

8 point gap for Birmingham, think that might be them out of the race now.

So you travel to watch Saints away and leave at half time when we are winning? Seems a bit strange behaviour to me.

Not solely but there are some good examples this season where managers have come in and immediately found vastly improved form, which continued over a decent sample size. Such as Tonda, Clement and Matos. Also Boro were on a downward slope under Carrick, sold couple of their best players but Edwards and now Hellberg getting so much more out of that team consistently. Lampard at Cov another example. Ipswich under McKenna. Quite a few examples.

Where do we sign?

Hull have been massively outperforming their metrics all season, I wonder if it can continue or if they will dip at the wrong time. Their game in hand is Ipswich I think. 7 points ahead of us as things stand. Wrexham beating Ipswich was a huge result for them but they do still have a lot of the chasers and the top 2 to play, as well as welcoming us to the Racecourse. That game is going to be massive if we both carry on in the same vein. Nice to hop above the rest of the chasing pack with the most winnable of games next up. Really starting to believe we can make the playoffs.

2-2 now

QPR beating Hull

I reckon he ends up in the Bundesliga next season if we don’t go up. Would be nice to keep him though!

Think Alfie said this afternoon.