Yes but if Eastleigh Town took on Brazil at penalties they would stand a decent chance. Of course it isn’t completely random. But going into a penalty shoot no one can ever confidently declare who is favourite to win hence the term ‘lottery’
The strength of mind is key but that isn’t proportionate to the skill of player. And not like these players when get to level can kick to bottom corner, give the eyes to keeper etc and others of a lesser skill can’t pick out bottom corner as don’t yet have the skill