So if Norwich, Charlton and Barnsley all fail to pick up more than another 9 points, that means the bottom three would look like this:
Barnsley 48pts
Norwich 45pts
Charlton 36pts
Meaning that a team COULD stay up on 49 points, which is NOT "over 50" as you have stated as "FACT"
Day following night is a fact, not an opinion or even a "fact waiting to happen".
Stick that in your pipe and smoke it.