Saints, Brighton, Walsall, Weds, Exeter and Carlisle

[Lighthouse]

These are the teams we need to be cheering on Saturday. The first two are a given, but the battle at the bottom of the table could be just as important.

 

As it stands the bottom looks like:

 

Walsall - 45 points

---------------------

D and R - 44

Rovers - 44

Plymouth - 42

Swindon - Gone

 

Fixtures on Saturday are:

Exeter vs Plymouth

Daggers vs Carlisle

Rovers vs Owls

Walsall vs Charlton

 

If Walsall were to win and the others lose, they would be mathematically safe from everyone bar Plymouth. This would force Plymouth to go all out for a win on Monday (6 point behind, with 2 games left, better GD), which should work in our favour. If we were to get a draw, Walsall would be guaranteed safety going into the final game (and might be very greatful )

 

All hypothetical, but something to consider.

[Jez]

So if Plymouth beat Exeter and they were 3 points from safety instead of 6, they still wouldn't go all out for a win? Surely their result against Exeter is irrelevant (other results dependant)

[Pat from Poole]

Plymouth's last game is home to Orient, I believe, who could still be going for the play-offs.

 

Plymouth have 3 meaty games left. Exeter are desperate to thrash them on Saturday, I can see that being a pretty volatile game.

[Lighthouse]

So if Plymouth beat Exeter and they were 3 points from safety instead of 6, they still wouldn't go all out for a win? Surely their result against Exeter is irrelevant (other results dependant)

 

If they're 3 points off safety with a game in hand they will have real belief. If they're 6 off, with a very tiny chance of success, they will be desperate. I'd rather face the latter.

[saints-cris]

I want to face a Plymouth side who NEED to win. Means they'll have to come at us at some point! But Id also like the job to be all but done by the time we play them!

[Fan The Flames]

Good belt and braces analysis.