dune

Not really that bothered anymore this season - todays game is akin to a pre season friendly now huddersfield have won, the sun is shining, my weed and feed has done the job and i may well get the scarifier out. decisions decisions.

Clegg's father and brother both had illustrious careers in banks that promoted the sort of 'risky' lending the LibDems now want to ban. Records from Companies House show Clegg's father, Nicholas, is still a chairman of the United Trust Bank, which specialises in financing property developers. He has been at the bank since 2001, where the highest-paid director earned £235,000 last year despite the bank making a loss of £464,000. Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/election/article-1266677/ELECTION-2010-Clegg-plays-Northerner-really-posh-Dave.html#ixzz0lL6pXYqt

ROFL You can dream.

There is a very fine line between madness and genious. Cast your mind back to the 1983 election, when a strong showing by the Liberal-SDP Alliance helped hand the Tories a landslide. Happy days. "The 1983 UK general election was held on 9 June 1983. It gave the Conservative Party under Margaret Thatcher the most decisive election victory since that of Labour in 1945. The opposition vote split almost evenly between the SDP/Liberal Alliance and Labour. With its worst performance since 1918, the Labour vote fell by over 3 million from 1979 and this accounted for both a national swing of almost 4% towards the Conservatives and their larger parliamentary majority of 144, even though the Conservatives' total vote fell by almost 700,000." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_general_election,_1983

I have caught and eaten a chub as a kid. It was surprisingly nice.

The Conservatives do have a healthy core vote. In recent elections the core vote started to fragment to favour the likes of UKIP, but at this election it's all about getting rid of brown so the Tory core will stay loyal and will be motivated to vote. On the other hand the Labour core vote is shot with deserters to the Greens and the Liberals and those left will not be motivated to vote so much of the remaining labour vote will not turn out. The Tories will win with a healthy majority.

It's too simplistic to put X, Y and Z into the predictor because it doesn't take into account where the Lib Dem votes are coming from. The Tories and Labour may lose votes, but it is Labour that's going to lose its core votes - the Tory core vote will not shift and you can bet your bottom dollar that the Tory core vote will turn out. This will mean that in the Tory/Labour marginals Labour are going to take a drubbing. Here is a list of marginals that Labour currently hold and where the Tories are second - with a little help from the Liberals they'll take a good many more of these seats than they would have. Add these gains to safe Tory seats in the shires and you will find that come April 6th David Cameron will have a healthy majority. Constituency Majority % Crawley 37 0.1% Sittingbourne and Sheppey 79 0.2% Harlow 97 0.2% Battersea 163 0.4% Medway 213 0.5% Warwick and Leamington 266 0.5% Gillingham 254 0.6% Stroud 350 0.6% Hove 420 0.9% Selby 467 0.9% Stourbridge 407 1.0% Dartford 706 1.5% High Peak 735 1.5% South Thanet 664 1.6% Finchley and Golders Green 741 1.7% City of Chester 917 2.0% Cardiff North 1146 2.5% Wirral West 1097 2.7% Calder Valley 1367 2.9% Portsmouth North 1139 3.0% Burton 1421 3.0% South Swindon 1353 3.1% Colne Valley 1501 3.1% Corby 1517 3.1% Wansdyke 1839 3.6% South Dorset 1812 3.7% Vale of Glamorgan 1808 3.8% Harrow West 2028 4.2% Loughborough 1996 4.3% South Ribble 2184 4.6% Enfield North 1920 4.7% Hastings and Rye 2026 4.7% Stafford 2121 4.7% Broxtowe 2296 4.7% Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire 1910 5.0% Nuneaton 2280 5.0% Bolton West 2064 5.1% Pendle 2180 5.3% Chatham and Aylesford 2332 5.5% Staffordshire Moorlands 2438 5.5% North Swindon 2571 5.7% Dumfries and Galloway 2922 5.7% Tamworth 2569 5.9% Cleethorpes 2642 6.1% Birmingham Edgbaston 2349 6.2% Hendon 2699 6.5% Bury North 2926 6.6% Redditch 2716 6.7% Brigg and Goole 2894 6.8% Worcester 3144 6.8% Brighton Kemptown 2737 6.9% Wolverhampton South West 3144 6.9% Basildon 3142 7.3% Great Yarmouth 3055 7.4% Stevenage 3139 7.5% Warrington South 3515 7.5% Bedford 3383 8.0% Milton Keynes South West 4010 8.1% South Derbyshire 4495 8.1% Gloucester 4271 8.2% Bradford West 3026 8.3% Rossendale and Darwen 3676 8.3% Halifax 3417 8.6% Derby North 3757 8.6% Gedling 3811 8.6% Conwy 3081 9.2% Eltham 3276 9.3% Harrow East 4730 9.3% Wirral South 3724 9.4% Northampton North 3960 9.4% North West Leicestershire 4477 9.5% Brentford and Isleworth 4411 9.6% Elmet 4528 9.6% Tynemouth 4143 9.7% Hampstead and Highgate 3729 9.8% Dover 4941 10.3% Halesowen and Rowley Regis 4337 10.5% Keighley 4852 10.5% Plymouth Sutton 4109 10.8% Dudley South 4244 10.8% Stirling 4767 10.9% Bolton North East 4103 11.1% Reading West 4672 11.1% Amber Valley 5275 11.1% Morecambe and Lunesdale 4768 11.5% Brighton Pavilion 5030 11.5% Norwich North 5459 11.6% Blackpool North and Fleetwood 5062 11.7% Wakefield 5154 11.9% Waveney 5915 11.9% Dewsbury 4615 12.0% Lincoln 4613 12.5% Pudsey 5870 12.6% Leeds North East 5262 12.7% Ipswich 5332 12.7% Stockton South 6139 12.7% Tooting 5381 12.9% Dudley North 5432 13.1% Ealing North 6159 13.5% Ealing Acton and Shepherd's Bush 5520 13.9% Exeter 7665 13.9% East Renfrewshire 6657 14.0% Erewash 7084 14.0% West Lancashire 6084 14.1% Sherwood 6652 14.1% Hyndburn 5587 14.2% Vale of Clwyd 4669 14.4% Luton South 5650 14.5% Thurrock 6375 14.6% Batley and Spen 5788 14.8% Regent's Park and Kensington North 6131 15.1% Newport West 5458 15.3% Coventry South 6255 15.4% Ellesmere Port and Neston 6486 15.4% Chorley 7625 15.4% Telford 5406 15.8% Brent North 5641 15.8% Kingswood 7873 15.9% Carlisle 5695 16.1% Crosby 5840 16.1% Birmingham Hall Green 5714 16.5% Barrow and Furness 6037 16.5% Edinburgh South West 7242 16.5% Luton North 6487 16.6% Southampton Test 7018 16.8% Gower 6703 17.0% Bridgend 6523 17.2% Weaver Vale 6855 17.4% Workington 6895 17.4% Feltham and Heston 6820 18.3% Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland 8000 18.3%

The close season is fast approaching....

Are you talking about EU or non EU migrants?

So why haven't your Labour lot sorted it out?

No, because these jobs always got done in the past. The problem is the benefits culture in Britain. Labour have made sitting on your arse drawing your giro a career choice for many.

So is mine. I have no objection to small scale immigration to fill key positions. It's the mass migration of unskilled workers that is causing the powderkeg situations in places like Wisbech in Lincolshire - an area where Nick Clegg wants more and more immigrants to come.

Agree, there are certainly more NHS dentists now than there were.

It's an ill thought out policy. Giving an amnesty to illegal immigrants is like paying a randsom to hostage takers. If you go down such roads you will encourage it to happen more.

Bungle I don't want to get personal with you, i'd rather have a sensible debate. Do you canvass for the Lib Dems in rural areas?

I'm pretty much like them, but that doesn't mean i don't go to cities and see with my own eyes what a ****ed up mess they are in. It's better to close the barn door before the horse bolts. At present rural areas are pretty much how Britain was in the 50's in terms of the ethnic mix and that's how we want it to stay.

He got that wrong as well. We had 10 years of boom because of the measures taken by the Major government and because boom and bust was a thing of past (according to Brown) he continued to borrow and rack up more and more debt. It's basic common sense that during the good times you run a budget surplus and put some back for a rainy day, but Brown did the complete opposite and that is why this country is in such a mess now.

Switched from Tory to BNP because living in a safe Tory seat I will use my vote to send a message that the Tories need to move to the right and take a tough stance on immigration. That said if i lived in a marginal i'd vote Tory to get rid of Labour.

Correct. Prudence Brown announced he was going to be selling a huge chunk of our Bullion reserves well in advance of doing so and unsurprisingly the prospect of a huge glut about to hit the market sent the price tumbling. The bloke is a complete and utter fool.

We can only hope that the British public grasp the catastophic reality of a hung parliament before the election. Nick Clegg supposedly did well last night and that has already sent shockwaves through the markets. If the Liberals do well and force a hung parliament it will be bad for Britian. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/currency/7597871/Pound-falls-after-Nick-Cleggs-election-debate-success.html

You will always get "freak" polls such as the one Bungle conveniently highlighted. I prefer to look at the bigger picture. http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/

You're getting really boring with your constant internet hard man routine.

Just when Labour needs it's core vote to stay loyal, the Guardian go and support the Liberals. Such a shame.

I notice that Sterling has fallen against the Dollar and the Euro today because the market is getting jittery about a hung parliament again. This is based on the Liberal leader supposedly doing well. However i'm still of the belief that the Liberals will flop as per usual when it comes to real votes at the election. That said i believe that they will split the labour vote enough in some areas (Luton South, Worcester for example) which will allow the Tories to win in the Tory versus Labour marginals.

Twitter did a graph which plotted each leader based on reactions throughout the debate. As soon as Gordon Brown started talking about immigration his graph nosedived.