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Everything posted by Saint86
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But why sell him for less... that's surely the crux of it. We'll have a circa Β£10-15M drop in revenue from this season to next season. That's not earth shattering. Its 10% of the prem's equal share broadcasting revenue, not the 45% we dropped this season, and not the 45% we'll drop next season. Jander is young, one of our best players, and looks to have a very high ceiling. This season coming will be our last real chance to get promoted (if we fail this year)... The time to flog our best players will be summer 2027, not summer 2026.
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Given performances and contract length, we should be pushing for Β£25-30M for Jander, with sell ons. The only reason i would change that is if we are in a position where we are forced to sell, or want to sell to reinvest - Personally, I think the 3 players we'll try our hardest to keep are Jander, THB, and Azaz π€·ββοΈ. Fail to get promoted and we may lose all 3 sadly. Scienza is going to have interest and is an obvious "big sell", Charles will be sold because of the contract situation, and i'm not convinced Downes will want to stay another season. Worth noting, year 1 parachute payments are 55% (of the prem's equal share broadcasting revenue), year 2 are 45% - which equates to a drop of circa Β£10-15M for next season to circa Β£39M. After that, it would have dropped to the year 3 parachute payment value (of 20% or Β£16-18M per year). We won't get this parachute payment as only in the prem for 1 year. Therefore the scary drop is the cliff edge that's coming if we fail to get promoted in both this season and next season, as we will then have to accommodate the circa Β£39M drop in revenue (year 2 payments to no payments) in one go. So whilst we don't have to make drastic savings this season. Fail to get promoted and we face a revenue cliff edge in the 3rd season that's comparable to the 1st season relegation - and the gamble of whether to go for it or cut out cloth accordingly this summer.
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Haha, I was waiting for that one to get dug up... clearly my blind early season optimism was not enough to make Still into a ginger Belgian legend of the south coast, was worth a shot thoughπ€£π. And in fairness, he did Belgium the fuck out of the championship... π. I did also say he was a risky/bold appointment, and that the job of turning around our form and dressing room might be too much for him - which (sadly) proved to be the case.
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Jander was absolutely superb in comparison - how he has the legs for those 2 performances back to back i don't know.
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Aside from a little flurry at the end when we were shattered and had to comit men forward, they've scored from a foul and our defence with tired legs (not closing clarke).
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I have absolutely no doubt whatsoever that they're going straight back down. That bet is free money the second the market opens π
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Deserved to win that game, despite being absolutely shattered after City, and at least we stopped Ipswich's promotion party and have given them something to stress about during the week. Ipswich are bang average and very lucky the season isn't a couple of games longer. Maybe even 1 longer as i've got no doubts both us and Millwall would have caught them. As for tonight, the Ref certainly gave them every decision going in this one as well. They're very lucky they'll dodge the playoffs as i'd rank them behind Saints and Millwall for quality.
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This ref is a joke.
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Larin just pushed 2 hands in the back when going for that cross... blatant. That one was a pen.
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Should it not be a red card for the tackle on Azaz? If he doesn't jump out of the way he gets his leg snapped or an ankle ligament injury.
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Whats annoying is that Ipswich really are pretty average, we'd much rather have them in the playoffs than Millwall ffs.
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Clear foul in the buildup there.
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Yeah, I sadly think so to. Will likely catch up with us at some point in this match. Ah well, let's see what they can do, who knows, we may still spoil their promotion party.
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Lots of silly mistakes first few minutes - tired, or nerves?
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He's had a disjointed season, but i agree that there is a decent player in there. Hopefully he stays fit going into preseason and can hit the ground running in August.
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Don't think there can be any doubt that we fully rattled them and fundamentally they just didn't like it. We were the far better fans (not even a question), and then we had the nerve to scare the crap out of them by keeping a clean sheet for 82min and taking a lead that left them needing a lucky deflected and bouncing shot to get back into the match. They almost got proper humbled and they know it, and that's just too much for their billy big bollocks "fans" online - pretty funny really π
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Checked their forum (btw - they have to have the worst forum organisation / layout I've ever seen, what is with all their micro threads all covering the same subject π π€¦ββοΈ), but my lord are they cocky. They may or may not beat us, but it's beyond complacent to be that confident of beating this Southampton side away from home π
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Very very hard to chose between: Scienza, THB, and Peretz for me - for the top award. But even that is harsh on the likes of Azaz, Downes, Bree, and Manning... and its not like the majority of the squad haven't had very good seasons as well. After the misery that was last season, this year has yielded a special team - one that has to get promoted or face dismantling.
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Walked to wembley central with my lad after the game, mixed fans all the way. Saw absolutely zero scuffles and no police were involved. So whatever it was must have been very isolated - could equally be complete horeshit from some very sad city fans. Most city fans I met were pretty friendly and normal tbh. Didn't see any trouble the entire day.
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Given where they are and where they're likely heading, i think they could do far far worse than trying to keep Rowett... maybe he's seen the writing on the wall and won't be persuaded to stay?
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I presume he was quoting transfermarket, which states all monetary values in euros. Its not like the unit matters when comparing like for like anyway π
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The Analysis Series: Leicester Cityβs fall from grace This makes pretty grim reading from a Leicester perspective.
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Full strength city getting a 1-0 vs Burnley (a side we'd fancy ourselves to beat) in a must win game. Albeit they absolutely dominated them and the Burnley keeper was MoTM. https://www.flashscore.com/match/football/burnley-z3dmTMMO/manchester-city-Wtn9Stg0/summary/lineups/?mid=6mtC9buh Very strong side from city though: Ruma Nunes, khusanov, Guehi, Ait-Nouri(off on 65min) Silva, O'reily Semenyo (off on 65min), Cherki, Doku Haaland You have to fancy they'll rotate a fair amount on the back of this - especially with just 3days until the semi final, which might just give us chance π€·ββοΈ (I am very much aware that whatever side they put out will be superb). May sound mad, but we've secured playoffs, so i fully expect us to go all in on this. That Ipswich game is largely irrelevant to us and they'll be just as jaded as we are. And we are guaranteed 5th now as a minimum unless we somehow fail to beat an absolutely awful Preston side that have been on the beach for weeks and failed to beat both Leicester and qpr recently (and the boro Wrexham remaining games all go against us) . Happy days i say. Their bench still features the likes of Foden, Ake, Kovacic, Marmoush, and Reijnders. Looks likely that Ruben Dias and Rodri will be out of the semi, plus Gvardiol has a broken leg... Whisper it quietly, but they're might just be something in this for us on Saturday, if the cards fall our way anyway. City fans aren't sounding quite so confident after tonight either... https://forums.bluemoon-mcfc.co.uk/threads/southampton-n-sat-25th-april-17-15-fac-pre-match-thread.371524/
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Has anyone been able to access their tickets in the saints ticket app. I note the email confirmation says they'll be available from Wednesday 23rd of April - which i am not guessing was meant to be Thursday and they aren't coming out today?
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I know people get apprehensive, but I don't think I've ever seen someone fearing a 21goal swing in 2 games before ππ . People can relax! From this stand point, we're in the playoffs and almost certainly playing Boro imo... Which I would take over Wrexham away in a 2 legged playoff semi, with all the associated buzz. Win our 2 legs and we have to have the advantage over whoever we face in the final - we have players who've won the playoffs before, plus we've already had 1 trip to Wembley this season π€·
