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Saint_clark

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About Saint_clark

  • Birthday 16/02/1991

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  1. Promotion race going right to the wire.
  2. It is sad, but it's very easy to not care about money and just lock yourself away when you have enough of it to never have to worry about rent or bills being unpaid.
  3. I bet this forum was a nightmare when that happened.
  4. Algorithm Vs model is just arguing semantics, we both mean exactly the same thing. And AI is absolutely used to work out XG. No human interpretation at all, it's simple maths. Striker receives a ball on the penalty spot, takes a touch and shoots right footed with no defenders between him and the goal. How many times has that sort of chance been created, how many times has it been scored, how many times has it been missed, computer uses all the information from the past to work out the likelihood that it would be scored and that gives the XG value, regardless of whether it is actually scored or not. Someone COULD sit down and work out the XG for themselves, but at the volume it's happening across so many leagues and it being so readily available as the game progresses it requires a much faster processing speed than the human brain can manage.
  5. Nonsense. No point trying to explain it to you, you dismiss it out of hand probably because you refuse to put in the necessary effort to understand it. New fangled technology. All I'll say is if you look back through results on flashscores, for every team that scored over their X.G there's a team that scored under it.
  6. No, that's literally how the XG stats are calculated. It's how likely a chance is to be scored based on similar chances being scored or not in the past and the only way to work that out is using AI as it would be impossible for a human to sit down and look at that amount of data in such a short time frame.
  7. Most likely, yes. All these stats are worked out using crazy AI algorithms using hundreds of thousands of data points from decades of football games.
  8. Seems a little on the low side, we're only 6 points behind with a game in hand and we play all three of the sides above us.
  9. Xg is different to the XgC stat for keepers. Expected goals is the likelihood a player will score in a certain situation, taking into account position, angle of shot, type of pass played and position of defence and keeper (and a lot more). XgC is about the likelihood of a keeper making a save from a certain type of shot. The two stats won't perfectly align because a low Xg chance like a shot from the edge of the box first time like we saw against Sunderland, would also be a low chance of the keeper saving once it took the massive deflection. What the stat posted shows is that Bazunu has conceded more chances that statistically goalkeepers would normally save than any other keeper in the league.
  10. I did a double take as well. At least that solves the issue of fixture congestion though. Maybe we plan on going to the EFL and asking that Preston forfeit the points as we've been waiting all those years and they still haven't shown up.
  11. Because in my hypothetical situation i'm talking about games that Saints actually participated in. Talking about what Leicester could have done is irrelevant because we never had any control over that anyway. We DID have control over our performances against Bristol City, Hull and Millwall.
  12. We're into the last 10 games now, most important section to be hitting form. Leeds in an excellent position and hopefully we got our wobble out of the way.
  13. Yep, annoying really. Two wins from Bristol City, Millwall and Hull instead of three losses and things would look very different.
  14. Rothwell is going to end up being a cult hero despite the fact his overall performances leave a lot to be desired. Very much in the right place at the right time.
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