more than 10 we need to be getting 16-18 IMO. We should be looking to win the home games Brighton, Forest, Villa, Wolves, Leicester then pick up a win and a few draws away. It's as good a run of fixtures any new manager could hope for.
if we only get 10 points we'll be on 22 with 11 games left. In April we play City at home and Arsenal and Newcastle away, nothing from those games meaning we'd have to beat Bournemouth and Palace to give us any chance.