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dune

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Everything posted by dune

  1. He stood down to fight this seat.
  2. He is, he's standing in Buckingham trying to oust the expenses sponging speaker Bercow.
  3. You look like Chris Moyles.
  4. Ask yourself this - Harriet Harman or Therasa May? Theresa would get it every time. She's pure filth.
  5. Tory women are more dirty. FACT. Labour/Liberal women are prudish and into womens lib.
  6. I really hope he wins, would be great seeing him wheeled in to the where the votes are announced all battered and bruised. Can just picture him giving a rambling concussed speech and then callapsing on the podium. It'd be comedy gold. Nigel Farge is a legend.
  7. Thought it was an airfield in Northants?
  8. Is it's on the SKY news rolling banner. BREAKING NEWS BA SACK DUNCAN HOLLEY FOR GROSS MISCONDUCT.
  9. Caroline has bigger tits and would be better in bed.
  10. I hope he's ok, bloody hell.
  11. He and his wife live in the UK for a few months in the summer and in Spain when it's cold.
  12. I may or may not know one of them too.
  13. Right i tossed a coin and it landed tails, so I decided to go best of 3 and it landed in the coal scuttle. After tossing again it landed tails again so i decided to go best of 5 and it landed tails again. In fact it landed tails 5 times on the trot so on that basis I will be voting UKIP.
  14. dune

    The Finals Polls

    From the Polling Report website... Anyway, enough of the polling – how will it translate into seats? On a uniform swing a split of 36/28/27 would translate into a seat distribution of Conservatives 297, Labour 245 and Lib Dems 76. There are a couple of departures from UNS that we can be pretty confident of though – firstly, Scotland will not follow this pattern. The polling suggests Labour’s support in Scotland is pretty solid and there is certainly no Conservative advance (and the SNP surge we were seeing a year or two back has also gone.) I also expect the Conservatives to outperform the national swing in Labour held marginals – the seven percent swing we’ve seen in the YouGov, MORI and Crosby/Textor polls would take the Conservatives over 300 and close to a majority. What is much more difficult to do is predict what will happen in Lib Dem marginals. It seems likely the Conservative advance will be slightly offset by losing seats to the Liberal Democrats, but there have been a couple of straws in the wind like that ICM poll of Lib Dem marginals that suggest the Lib Dems are advancing more in Labour held marginals than Conservative ones. We don’t have the polling evidence to judge that – but whether the Lib Dems advance evenly, or do better against Labour, will be the difference between the Conservatives getting about 300 seats and getting up to 310 or more. Anyway, I can’t delay it any longer: my guess is we are going to see the Conservatives between 300-310, Labour between 220-230, the Liberal Democrats between 80-90 (though I warn you, I may be a pollster, but my personal powers of election prediction are notoriously poor!) For other pollster predictions, TNS have made a seat prediction of CON 292, LAB 204, LDEM 114; Peter Kellner’s personal prediction is CON 300-310, LAB 230-240, LDEM 75-85; Angus Reid have a prediction of CON 320-340, LAB 165-185, LDEM 105-120.
  15. If you really cared you'd have flown in to England to vote. Yesterday I met a friend at the airport who had flown in from Malaga to vote, that shows comittment. Shame on you.
  16. dune

    Yes yes yes

    It could make all the difference between a circa 300 seat Tory win and a circa 330+ seat Tory win.
  17. One of those scenarios is right.
  18. dune

    Yes yes yes

    Let's hope so. On the positive side rain in the SW will help against the Liberals, but perhaps i'm being greedy as I have my real eyes set on the mass of red tup north.
  19. UKIP are one side of the coin.
  20. dune

    The Finals Polls

    I think the powers that be got the result they wanted after the first debate and have decided to leave it at that.
  21. dune

    Yes yes yes

    Bright for Scotland, Northern Ireland and southeast England; rain elsewhere. Today: Mainly dry with sunny spells across southeastern England, Scotland and Northern Ireland. Rather cloudier elsewhere with occasional rain or showers. Showers may be locally heavy and thundery across south Wales and southwest England. Mainly light northeasterly winds. Temperatures below normal. I'm hoping the rain spreads up to the Manchester/Leeds belt by tea time.
  22. dune

    Yes yes yes

    I'ts just started raining. I hope we're in for a deluge.
  23. dune

    The Finals Polls

    I couldn't have put it better myself.
  24. I'm still undecided, it's 50/50 between two parties.
  25. dune

    BNP

    I thought fair play, at least he stood by his mate, where were the spitters mates?
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