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The Phoenix From The Flames (our positive goal difference benefits)..


Gordon Mockles
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Just a minor, probably obvious but happy point worth mentioning (apologies if it has been mentioned) which will serve us well this season if we keep scoring so freely from open play...

 

I'm turning into a stato - Other than the 14 goals in the last 5 games there is also another interesting and beneficial element to our campaign...

 

Seeing as Saints started the season (abnormally) on minus 10 points, it's well worth considering that all the goal differences of the teams around us are far inferior (Tranmere on -17, Wycombe on -9, Carlisle -6, Exeter -9).

 

We are on +5 goals difference. Only 5 teams in League One have a better GD than us - Huddersfield and the top 4 teams in the league (Leeds, Charlton, MK Dons & Colchester - Makes you feel good, doesn't it!)

 

So, if we draw level with any teams around the foot of the table (on our climb upwards), we'll automatically leapfrog them (i.e. Tranmere draw Saturday, we win - we're straight past them!) with our positive GD. I think that may come in handy on our rise from the ashes left by our predecessors. Obvious I know but league places & points mean prizes. ;)

 

Just thought I'd share that as it cheered me up. I've not scrutinized tables, stats, points and GD in so long as it used to depress me. Not any more!! YAYY!!!

 

:)

Edited by Gordon Mockles
Goal tally wrong - blamed on sh*tty ifooty for printing the Southend result twice, I hadn't noticed! Apologies.
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Just a minor, probably obvious but happy point worth mentioning (apologies if it has been mentioned) which will serve us well this season if we keep scoring so freely from open play...

 

I'm turning into a stato - Other than the 15 goals in the last 5 games (3 per game) there is also another interesting and beneficial element to our campaign...

 

Seeing as Saints started the season (abnormally) on minus 10 points, it's well worth considering that all the goal differences of the teams around us are far inferior (Tranmere on -17, Wycombe on -9, Carlisle -6, Exeter -9).

 

We are on +5 goals difference. Only 5 teams in League One have a better GD than us - Huddersfield and the top 4 teams in the league (Leeds, Charlton, MK Dons & Colchester - Makes you feel good, doesn't it!)

 

So, if we draw level with any teams around the foot of the table (on our climb upwards), we'll automatically leapfrog them (i.e. Tranmere draw Saturday, we win - we're straight past them!) with our positive GD. I think that may come in handy on our rise from the ashes left by our predecessors. Obvious I know but league places & points mean prizes. ;)

 

Just thought I'd share that as it cheered me up. I've not scrutinized tables, stats, points and GD in so long as it used to depress me. Not any more!! YAYY!!!

 

:)

 

So right you are, and if we by way of a very positive momentum stand to sneak in to the last play off place, our positive GD might well be the difference.

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Sorry to pour some cold water...........there are actually 6 teams with a better GD than Saints - the original post omitted Millwall on +8. Without the -10, Saints would be equal on points with the 8th and 9th placed teams, but due to an inferior goal difference would only be 10th. On the other hand, after failing to win any of our first 7 games, current form suggests that if we get up to mid-table the GD will be far more positive by then.

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Sorry to pour some cold water...........there are actually 6 teams with a better GD than Saints - the original post omitted Millwall on +8. Without the -10, Saints would be equal on points with the 8th and 9th placed teams, but due to an inferior goal difference would only be 10th. On the other hand, after failing to win any of our first 7 games, current form suggests that if we get up to mid-table the GD will be far more positive by then.

 

You're dead right. Thought I'd been so thorough too. I actually saw Millwall (and omitted Norwich who are on the same GD) and then somehow must have gone blind and omitted Millwall in my OP. Still, same point applies.

 

It's good to know that we've an added advantage, despite the -10 to start the campaign. Every cloud...

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I find that the -10 is misleading so I have decided to apply them pro-rata over the rest of the season. At the moment we have played 13 games so we have a deduction of 2.826 points giving us a net 15.17 points and effectively 14th place, just above Yeovil. However, given our improved form and a settled playing squad I expect that position to steadily improve over the rest of the season. Gordon is quite correct when he says that the GD may turn out to be decisive when we come to the later stages.

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I find that the -10 is misleading so I have decided to apply them pro-rata over the rest of the season. At the moment we have played 13 games so we have a deduction of 2.826 points giving us a net 15.17 points and effectively 14th place, just above Yeovil. However, given our improved form and a settled playing squad I expect that position to steadily improve over the rest of the season. Gordon is quite correct when he says that the GD may turn out to be decisive when we come to the later stages.

 

Excellent approach. Makes for a far more accurate assessment.

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I find that the -10 is misleading so I have decided to apply them pro-rata over the rest of the season. At the moment we have played 13 games so we have a deduction of 2.826 points giving us a net 15.17 points and effectively 14th place, just above Yeovil. However, given our improved form and a settled playing squad I expect that position to steadily improve over the rest of the season. Gordon is quite correct when he says that the GD may turn out to be decisive when we come to the later stages.

 

CarolVorderman460.jpg

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It shows what you can do when you massage the figures!

 

Talking of which, not done myself justice on this thread with a few stati errors. I'll never make a statistician! Having counted the goals from our last 5 games on my ifooty application, the useless software printed the Southend result twice (under Fri & Sat) so I accidently added the goals as 15 in our last 5 games when it was in fact 14. Easy mistake to make!! Trust the internet & it lets you down. Pahh!!

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