CB Fry

I thought he wanted to come and play with his bestest friend in the whole world?

Neil Armstrong?

Except that tweet says other clubs are going to take him.

Absolutely no justification for that appalling photoshop.

Good read. Reminds you that this is a war where it is incredibly easy to want both sides to lose.

Newcastle have got money to Burn.

I see Boris and Rishi saying they are pushing ahead with the Tax rise. I am in absolutely no doubt they want to push it through entirely so they can lop it off again in the budget of 2024 just conveniently in time for the election that summer and ride in on a "look at us lowering taxes" message. And it will work.

I think the important thing is to look at every single event in football through the lens of how terrible it is going to be for Southampton Football Club.

The "nobody can name anyone better" routine is absolute bullshit being that pretty much no one here had heard of Ralph Hasenhuttl until a day or so before he was appointed.

Absolute pie in the sky. This is even more insane that the old "here's the English team for the world cup in ten years time" that you'd see in the papers, when they would get maybe one or two players right. Danny Cadamartari and Matt Jansen becoming England legends etc.

Looks like it is reported everywhere now. Can't see it working myself: he's going to make Mike Walker look like Bill Shankly.

I thought the format of the winter break was to split the fixtures across two weeks (five games one weekend and five the next) so that all clubs get a break but there are still games both weekends. When did it turn into this bullshit?

They are going tobe like a shit version of Manchester United. Splurging money around on big names but not actually winning anything and with no particular strategy. Manchester City already exist (as do United, Liverpool, Real Madrid etc). They can't all be the biggest club in the world, they can't all have all the best players. They are going to be a long way away from emulating them.

Stanley Matthews would be f**king shit today with those clunky old boots on.

To many people got carried away with Toby. It's not a hostage situation: first refusal does not mean a player has to sign for you if they don't want to. Ultimately a player can decide who he wants to play for. Toby was never ours. But I'm also very comfortable in thinking this is also a reason why Broja is not going to sign for Newcastle this January. They can offer £50m to Chelsea and I still don't think he'd want to go there now. And he won't.

Thank you for liking my posts further up the thread when I tried to explain this 👍 Sorry to everyone else for the diversions.

Sounds ridiculous to me. Broja doesn't need to sign for Newcastle, he is already a Chelsea player. Chelsea don't need to sell to Newcastle, they can sit tight and see how he develops for the rest of the season with us. Feels like a combination of Newcastle last minute hysteria and journos just randomly linking anyone who's had a good game recently with Newcastle. So it's either untrue or if it is true it's ridiculous and doomed to fail.

Ah, we're getting somewhere. Well done.

What he did was work out the total points available and then apply a percentage, giving a total. Which at 17-and-a-bit cannot be achieved by wins alone (multiples of three) and across the various clusters of game calculated points totals (1.5,4.5) that also cannot be achieved by wins alone. Getting 40% of a 5 game, 15 point cluster can be achieved by wins and draws. Much like the 25 points we've got thus far this season, or the 14 points we got in the second half of last season. A combination of wins and draws. You know, like football. As I say, I understood it at one glance from the first post.

I'm as disappointed as you that this particular debate hasn't been (split) by the mods into its own separate thread with a comedy name. That's all I wanted and I feel let down.

I feel this signing is implausible because I believe we have an expected chance of signing him of 10%.

Stop posting these stupid examples. I don't give a shit. Total expected points x percentage expected to achieve = points for the second half of the season. 5 tough games, 10% of the 15 points available. Other clusters of games its forty or thirty percent. The points add up to a total which can then be achieved through wins or draws. I got it at first glance. Its a bit pessimistic but its a perfectly fine way of looking at it. You don't like it but that doesn't make it wrong.

You can't get one and a half points from five games without drawing (at least) one. Literally (numerically) a prediction of a couple of draws. Its a simple model taking a percentage of the available points to get to a total for the season. You don't like it, but its a perfectly fine way of looking at it. Doesn't make it, or me, "wrong" in any way. It's a bit of prediction fun on a forum and I thank Spyinthesky for posting it up. It's comfortably pessimistic so is a great confidence builder.

Feels completely implausible but if it genuinely in the Telegraph then maybe.....

Well we got significantly fewer points in the second half of last season than the first, so God only knows how that makes any model wrong. Its a perfectly appropriate stance to take. 1.5 points from 5 tough games equals two draws at best, one draw at worst. Again a realistic, pragmatic prediction. You can, if you like, do this weird routine where you pretend I am denying the existence of draws but it's there in the first post and I have referenced it multiple times. 1.5 points from 5 tough games = one or two draws. Pretty accurate prediction in my mind. How many points have we got from the last five games against those teams? Shall I tell you? Two. From draws. As in the model shown. Easy, aint it. You might not like it but a % of available points is a perfectly sensible approach. The available points for five games = 15 points. The available points for five games with draws added in, draws draws draws draws is....still 15 points. We a get 10% of those points for some games, or we can get 40%. Pretty easy to understand. Try it.