shurlock

Not got the bandwidth to rank them. Don’t mess with a winning formula pal.

https://mobile.twitter.com/PropertySpot/status/1169924684021948418 Jesus wept. And the usual suspects will lap it up.

Re Mugabe did you see Quentin Letts bizarre tweet? As for Miller's case, it barely stood a chance of succeeding.

So you missed David Smith's commentary or this https://www.ft.com/content/534e108a-4651-11e9-b168-96a37d002cd3. The National Institute of Economic and Social Research, the Institute for Fiscal Studies and the Centre for Economic Performance (LSE) can all hold their head up high, mindful that forecasting is an imprecise science. Its a fact that economists who've pointed out the dangers of Brexit have been far more accurate than its cheerleaders that you defer to. Which is to say your big and only conclusion is that politicians politicise things. I know you're a chump, the forum antinostradamus who couldn't predict tomorrow's date but did you only discover that today pal #bangonthemoney

Another Tory resignation; Johnson coming under fire from the chief constable of West Yorkshire police for using student officers as cheap political fodder; JRM rinsed by the Chief Medical Officer for impugning the reputation of a leading neurologist; and no signs the opposition will give the government a snap election. Just another Friday.

Take it up with UBS Les.

Party of Business UBS Wealth Management: 'Main threat' to sterling is Tory election win Sterling has recovered a bit in recent days after hitting its lowest level against the US dollar since a flash crash three years ago. But UBS Wealth Management is out with a note today reminding investors that the direction of travel could easily change. Mark Haefele, the group's chief investment officer, notes that the "main threat to sterling’s recovery is if [boris] Johnson’s Conservative party were to win with a majority in an early election." "They could then overturn the legislation requiring them to ask for an extension, increasing the threat of leaving without a deal," he said. He notes that a no-deal Brexit could send the British currency sinking back from around $1.23 today to $1.15 "or even lower." From the FT.

Its a never-ending nightmare for John. He's struggling so much that he even has to title his posts. The man reeks of insecurity and cheap fertiliser. The UK economy is much smaller than it where it would have been sans-Brexit. And it hasn't happened yet. As you point out the UK fared poorly against peers in 2017. It's also overlooked that the EU was the engine of global trade in 2017, contributing more to demand than China and the United States combined, benefiting the UK. Alas John will spit out charts without any understanding what they mean. As for the accuracy forecasts it is worth revisiting David Smith's summary of 2018:

Even Pravda is twigging that this is an absolute s**tshow https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/09/05/boris-johnson-just-gave-bizarre-speech-ever-pure-alan-partridge/

I may be wrong but I don't think there's anything technically stopping a Lord being PM (which often happened in the past). Needless to say it would be shady and perhaps unfeasible politically.

Don't technically need to be an MP to be PM.

Sounds like BoJo gave a cracking speech in Wakefield.

Rees Mogg hiding behind parliamentary privilege to defame people. Chicken s**t.

Yep probably won't resign but it will leave him more exposed to the Brexit Party who'll be screaming blue murder.

Its not clear at all that the exiles-independents will vote with the Tories as their principal concern is avoiding no deal - that much was abundantly clear in the debates for an early GE and is reflected in the abstentions and votes against the original motion. The SNP has incentives to jump the gun but it would be extremely naive and short-termist if they don't coordinate their behaviour. But ultimately its for the opposition to give the greenlight. Hence the desperation among the rightwing press and its concerted campaign to goad the opposition into action. They know it, we know it, only John seems a bit clueless.

John Flint, Former CEO of HSBC Fired in double-quick time mind.

Exactly. John is hopelessly confused and outchumped himself again. He seems to think that Mogg has somehow checkmated the opposition. The government doesn't now have the numbers for a GE whether its a 2/3s or simple majority. Its in Corbyn and the opposition's gift to give. If we have a GE, its because the opposition has chosen it, not because it's been forced into it. Pompey Poly's second most famous graduate and strategic genius

And the suggestion is that they’re going down the FTPA route again and resubmitting the same motion. Can John actually read?

Edit

Yep. Has anyone actually looked at the work done by the alternative arrangements commission? Obviously Les and John haven't though they'll claim in customary ignorant confidence that it makes the backstop redundant. Among the most staggering proposals -though absolutely critical to the operation of alternative arrangements is that the Republic of Ireland leaves the Single Market regime and forms a new “food safety union” with the UK so as to ensure regulatory alignment. It doesn't explain why on earth Ireland would want to leave the EU regime, never mind why the EU would allow Ireland to leave. But this is the current state of thinking - no wonder nothing's been proposed yet. Delusional.

Possibly, though the claims he was making in the leadership contest i.e. how he was going to get rid of the backstop and gut the WA- should have signalled to most objective people that he wasn't really serious about negotiating with EU and getting a deal. Turns out those fears have been vindicated.

He should have never accepted a position in his brother's government (with cabinet attendance) in the first place. But better late than never, so fair play. Just makes Matt Hancock, Amber Rudd and Nicky Morgan look even more craven

It's irrelevant to your original statement which numerous posters pulled you up on, leaving egg on your face. In other news, Jo Johnson has grown a backbone.

There's no evidence of the sort. The warm words from Merkel and Macron are simply good, pragmatic diplomacy to keep doors open and an unwillingness to be blamed by the UK press and swivels if things go wrong (a thankless task). By contrast, we now know that Johnson hasn't actually negotiated with the EU or offered any concrete proposals - even when no deal was on the table. Renegotiations have been a sham in the words of No.10 insiders. They have been deliberately set up to fail, so Johnson can call an election, scapegoat Parliament and the EU, throw a bit of money around and claim there's a great deal on the horizon before the realities of Brexit and no deal have materialised. Clearly the EU doesn't want no deal but its an economic fact that the costs will be disproportionately borne by the UK (followed probably by Ireland). I know you keep banging on about getting Brexit done to end uncertainty. But for an honest assessment of that position, you might want to take a look at the ever erudite Ivan Rogers: https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/09/ivan-rogers-the-realities-of-a-no-deal-brexit/