In all the emotion, can someone clarify the maths for me?

Apologies if posted elsewhere. I understand avoiding relegation is almost there, but not definite.

I am struggling to understand the maths of the last games and what we need to stay up.

Which results do we NEED to go our way?

Thanks

Assuming Huddersfield get another point (tough ask)

We would need a 10 goal swing in Swansea’s favour to go down.

We have scored more, I think

We go down if we have a 10 goal swing

For example we lose 5-0 and Swansea win 5-0

Huddersfield would also need to pick up a point too (play Chelsea away and arsenal home)

To eliminate the maths,....Do you believe in God? Have you recently murdered someone by performing a seriously homosexual act on them while eating seafood and getting a tattoo?.....You would probably have to do all of this while coveting an ox or two before getting relegated to Hell.

A 9-goal-swing would put us on the same GD as Swansea.

The next deciding factor would be total goals scored - we've scored 37, they've scored 27.

Worst case 9-goal-swing scenario for us would be losing 1-0 to City and Swansea winning 8-0 vs Stoke, which would put them equal on points (both 36) and goal difference (both -19), but they'd still be behind us on goals scored (our 37 vs their 35).

So, 10-goal-swing is needed for us to go down.

A tenner on us to go down at 100-1 should cover it...

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and thats why 150 will get you only 151 back at Ladbrokes.