SaintBobby

But as pointed out before, that's the equivalent of saying in early August, "we need 137 points to guarantee winning the league, anyone who says we only need 95 is a loon" It's not just that you were so wrong that was amazing...it was the complete certainty and extremity with which you expressed your wrongness...

Strange prediction.....

I'd say it's deeply, deeply unlikely. They've been amazingly consistent and there just aren't enough games left to catch them really. It's maybe a 1% or 2% chance...no higher. May as well aim for it. But I agree with those who will be cheering Brighton on against Huddersfield.

Yeah, sorry to say, I don't think you'll make the play-offs now. Shame, would have been great to have had 4 south coast teams in the NPC. You're right though that 8th is a good final position for AFCB though, all in all.

Fonte for me. Immense performance. Very honourable mentions to Jaidi, Barnard and Lambert.

We should be big, big favourites for our remaining home games (Bristol R, Hartlepool and Walsall). Our home form over the past 18 games is W 14 D 3 L 1, I think. We've got a really tough part of the run in out of the way in style. 22 points from a possible 24 in the last eight games is superb. Little surprise we're now 1/10 with some bookies to be promoted... A win on Tuesday and we'll nearly be able to touch the NPC.

I don't think anyone is surprised that you overstated the number of points we needed. Do you still think we're likely only to be in the play-offs?

Just to confirm. The answer to theOP's question is"yes"

Walsall could be an odd one. If we need a win or draw to nail promotion, I'd guess it would sell out. But if we've been promoted already, will tickets sell on a "come and celebrate" idea or not?

I find it quite amusing. When he gets tied up in his own twisted illogic, he just drops the whole line of argument and tries to move onto something else. It's quite sweet, really

11 points will do it. 12 or more and it's a near certainty. I think we'd possibly scrape it with 9 or 10. Technically, it's 16 to be 100% mathematically certain - or 15 if you make the reasonable assumption that our GD holds up. I wonder at what point Huddersfield and Peterborough rest players in anticipation of the play offs? I expect both these teams to drop a good few points in the remaining league games.

I'm not being "smug after the fact". I said we'd need 20 points to go up with ten games to go. You said 28. You said people expressing the 20 point view were "loons". Not for the first time, you were wrong. In this instance, colossally wrong. There's no "after the fact" about it....

I think we still need about 28 points to guarantee promotion. Lol. Nervy 2nd half but awesome win. Fonte was superb. Bit odd to end the game with four centre backs and no wingers, but all good stuff!

Is there any general consensus on which pub(s) are good for away fans near the ground? I went to the 2-2 last year, but my memory's like a sieve.

3 people (so far) think a Huddersfield win is the best result for us....?????

Def prefer 2 games to 2 points at this stage. A return of 3 points from next two games keeps us well on track.

A Peterborough win for me.

I think you can get about 80/1 or better.

One for nostalgia really. Not saying he's a bad player, but I don't imagine,say, Brighton or Crystal Palace or Burnley fans would be remotely excited about signing him. Neither should we. He could probably do a job for us. But let's not pretend he can bring back the 2002/3/4 glory days. It's all too sentimental.

Amen to that. It wld be possible to even win the division if we did. I don't think this is a thread though about whetehr people want to see Saints win all our remaining games. It's really a discussion about how badly we can do and still get promoted.

What about one point ahead?

I assumed he meant against the position as it stands now. I.E. The question is basically, which do you think is more likely: 1. Saints at least matching Huddersfield's result on the last day of the season (discounting Posh for sake of argument - which the OP seems to) or 2. Saints overtaking Huddersfield and Peterborough from where we stand today? I think it's 2....just.

My apols - you're right. I was only comparing us to Huddersfield.

The number of intervening days is 3. Well, about 3.1 until full time whistle on Saturday. HTH.

Innumerately, at a guess.