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Everything posted by SaintBobby
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Is this yeas league 1 weaker or stronger than last season..?
SaintBobby replied to Thedelldays's topic in The Saints
It does make sense. If for some bizarre reason, Barcelona and Man Utd joined League One next season, but the other 22 clubs were all literally pub teams, the division would - overall - be weaker. But it would also be harder to gain automatic promotion. Hope this helps. -
This. Not spending money is a gamble too.....and one Saints have taken this year.....
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Is this yeas league 1 weaker or stronger than last season..?
SaintBobby replied to Thedelldays's topic in The Saints
About on a par. A little bit easier to win the division. Much harder to make the play-offs (because there are 4 or 5 good teams, not 2 or 3) A bit easier to avoid relegation -
I'm sorry...it's madness..yes, I want us to win all 12 games. If we do, well probably pip Brighton to the title. I think Posh and Udders play each other....so we just don't need 36 points... 25ish will probably do it. 30 definitely....
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Grrrr...disappointing night....at least hoped Huddersfield would drop points....
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We do not need 36 points from our remaining 12 games. We just don't.
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Jesus Christ guys...70% of the season has gone and we're fourth...FOURTH....in the third division and arguing about whether our style of football should be prose or poetry. If we were fifteen points clear and experimenting with different formations, fair enough. We ain't. So, at the moment, I favour any system of play that gets us promoted. IMHO, that isn't "hoof it up to Rickie", but neither is it attempting back heels in your own penalty area (ask Cesc Fabregas). Basic strategy should be to release the ball down the flanks (to Chamberlain and Lallana, our two most dangerous players), try to beat one man (or draw a free kick) and then cross it in for Barnard or Lambert. Anything else is a bit of a luxury at this point.... Plan A will still probably get us promoted.
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For me, promotion was the minimum expectation this season. Winning the division was a realistic expectation. Simply qualifying for the play-offs (and then losing) would be a huge under-achievement. I don't believe Saints have a "right to be promoted" but we were the shortest odds of any team in any division to win our league/be promoted. I expected us to be promoted (and still do...just expected it to be easier). Failing to go up for Saints would be the equivalent of Chelsea failing to qualify for the Champions League or Liverpool finishing in the bottom half of the Premier Division or Aston Villa being relegated from the top flight...i.e. a pretty woeful under-performance.
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I think it would be a pretty reasonable achievement - not a very good one. To my mind, we underperformed appallingly this season pre-Adkins but have also probably underperformed just a tad since his arrival as well. For me, the low points have been losing at home to Plymouth, Brentford and Rochdale. That should have been 9 points (or maybe 7), rather than zero. I hate losing any game, but accept that you can't have anything like a 100% record away from home. Over the course of a season, losing to the odd Tranmere or Walsall - or getting pegged back by an excellent Peterborough side - will happen. Actually, our away form is about the best in the division. But our home form only is only 6th (on a points per game basis). If we don't go up, it will probably be because we didn't win a home league game until October (we also got whacked 0-3 by Swindon at SMS in the JPT early on, of course) So, Nigel Adkins definitely started with a handicap - but it's one I hoped and expected him to overcome more easily. I'm still confident of 2nd. And I'd probably make us favourites if we have to settle for the play-offs - although one bad bounce can stuff you in the play-off lottery, of course. Promotion will be mission accomplished. But it all could and should have been so much easier... One Faustian pact that keeps running through my mind is whether I'd prefer to seal 2nd or have a guarantee of winning the play-offs. Obviously the latter. But what about 2nd or a 90% chance of winning the play-offs? Or 80% or so on? Having said all that, we'll now probably win 12 games in a row and win the title with 97 points....(I don't wholly rule this out, btw)
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Hmmm....you may want to edit this post....
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Some players not in good form at the moment....but we are still winning!
SaintBobby replied to Firead's topic in The Saints
Everyone seems to be chugging along at 6 or 7 out of 10, it seems to me. Exception has been Hammond in recent weeks, he's really impressed me. -
pretty clear pen, I'd say. But Kelvin would have saved it, so makes no difference...
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I think the problem on this forum is that attitudes seem to polarise into those who seem to think things are really grim and those who think they are really great. The truth is somewhere in the middle. I'd say our performance this season is mildly disappointing, but I can understand the argument that it's been just about satisfactory. Things have picked up after (another) dismal start, but we've never really hit a totally blistering run of form (apart from a short run over Xmas/New Year). I'd also say in recent matches, we've been a tad lucky - i.e. our results have been better than our performances. Walsall is the exception that proves this rule. I'm not a wrist slitter, just remain a bit underwhelmed by our season so far. I'm very confident we will be promoted, but was hoping we'd achieve it with comfort.
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About 100 points should have been our target at the start of the season. We have the best - and certainly most expensive - squad by far. Finding one chunk of the season where we're averaging a bit over 2 points is good, but not amazing. Over the last three games, we've won 9 points. That "equates" to 138 points in a season... But over the whole season so far, we've been whipped by Brighton FFS. I'll settle for 2nd and think we'll get it, but that won't be an amazing achievement, it'll be a little bit below expectations to be honest.
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33 points from 15 games is pretty good. But not jaw-droppingly amazing.
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You may be right that this is what Schneiderlin would go for - but in that case he's the most undervalued player in the squad IMHO. I like Chaplow but am not sure his market value would have gone from 50K to 800K in the last few weeks. Incidentally, FourFourTwo this month rates Lallana as the 2nd best player in L1 and AOC as the 4th (Elliot Bennett of Brighton is 1st, having been responsible for half of all Brighton's assists this season). The article places Lallana's value at £3m and says Bournemouth have a 25% sell-on clause.
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No datatbase errors, but painfully slow reloading.
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Bournemouth 1 - 3 Saints - Post Match Reaction
SaintBobby replied to Saint_clark's topic in The Saints
I havent been a fan of us until the last few games, he's been in awesome form recently. -
Bournemouth 1 - 3 Saints - Post Match Reaction
SaintBobby replied to Saint_clark's topic in The Saints
Excellent result...nine points out of nine....sweet. -
Great Saints performance Utterly abysmal forum performance...again
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That's a big loss for them. I get horribly conflicted. Don't wish injury on any player - or oblivion on Plymouth, but I genuinely find it hard not to see all League One football through the prism of Saints promotion chances. Wrong, I know...
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Sorry, the other thread got locked. Thanks for the personal abuse, alpine. Very immature, really. But I understand. You can't stop lashing out behind a keyboard. I think you'll overcome that, in time. I assume you now put our promotion odds at much greater than 50%? Nearer 70%, I'd think?
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Quality. Free money available....take whatever that loon predicts and bet the other way. Presumably, he would have offered about 100/1 on a 3+ goal Saints win. Priceless. Tragic and sad, but truly priceless.