Play Off Chase

[beatlesaint]

1 minute ago, chuz said:

Looks like even more teams with something to play for from next season.  

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/articles/c4g00mr00zdo

We should be ok next season then 🤣

[Cabrone]

17 hours ago, benjii said:

I reckon 25 more points will get us 5th place, so we can afford to drop 8 points. 

Let's assume we lose against Coventry and Ipswich for the sake of argument, and draw with Wrexham. 

Means we need wins from:

WBA away

Norwich home

Oxford home

Derby home

Swansea home 

Bristol home 

Blackburn home

Preston away

When you look at the 'must win' fixtures you'd fancy our chances on a game by game basis but to win 8 out of 8? Not impossible but incredibly tight.

I do think we could get at least a point from Ipswich. We will need at least a draw with Wrexham.

A point not much talked about on here is that goal difference may also be crucial so we need to hammer the lesser teams as much as possible.

Wrexham's last 2 games are Cov(a)\Boro(h), our last 2 are Blackburn(h) and Preston(a).

Go into the last 2 games with at least +6 GD on Wrexham and I doubt they make that up, even if Cov\Boro are already guaranteed top 2. Hopefully they are not in which case Wrexham will be in trouble.

If it's that tight then GD is an extra point for us.

Edited Thursday at 13:54 by Cabrone

[SNSUN]

Come on Oxford! Preston still not far behind us but mainly i want Oxford to win to keep the relegation battle interesting. 

[Football Special]

On 04/03/2026 at 17:35, Convict Colony said:

best assessment of matches i have ever seen, love it.

I do like tho that you have oxford as piss easy tho bro, you must of forgotten they beat us 2-1 in Dec, lets hope they surprise the other teams.

Watched some of Oxford win away at Preston last night, classic unpredictable championship but no way can we go into that saying piss easy like you say they've already beaten us once 

[Football Special]

We'll inevitably drop a place in the league today, hoping Derby won't improve their goal difference too much, would be a shame to miss out on play offs due to goals scored by Ben Brerton Diaz 

[JohnnyShearer2.0]

If Hull dont win today AND Saints win at WBA, could close the gap to 4 points.

Dragging another place up for play-offs.

Edited 14 hours ago by JohnnyShearer2.0

[LGTL]

Hull losing comfortably.

[Harry_SFC]

Just now, LGTL said:

Hull losing comfortably.

Thought they would, Millwall very impressive this season and I think Hull are running out of steam. 

[goodymatt]

Hull play Wrexham next…

[Danbert]

6 hours ago, Football Special said:

We'll inevitably drop a place in the league today, hoping Derby won't improve their goal difference too much, would be a shame to miss out on play offs due to goals scored by Ben Brerton Diaz 

I don't think you need worry too much about that

[Cuddles]

1 hour ago, Danbert said:

I don't think you need worry too much about that

Bugger 🤣

[SNSUN]

Come on Ipswich! They need to keep the top 2 chase alive until the last game of the season as Wrexham have two of them in the last two fixtures. Plus Leicester would still be relegation faves.

 

[West end Saints]

An Ai stat analysis (which won't be accurate but is a straw for me to clutch) includes league table, home away from and fixture predictions.

Currently 35% chance of top 6.

After Hull v Wrexham game, if Hull win up to 45%, draw remains 35%, but Wrexham win we go down to 20%.

 

This is their prediction for the rest of the season with us missing out by 2 points 

Wrexham 75 points

vs Hull City (H): Loss (1-2)

vs Swansea City (H): Win

vs Watford (A): Draw

vs Sheffield Utd (A): Loss

vs West Brom (A): Win

vs Southampton (H): Draw (1-1)

vs Birmingham City (A): Win

vs Stoke City (H): Win

vs Oxford Utd (A): Win

vs Coventry City (A): Loss

vs Middlesbrough (H): Draw

 

Our 73 points

vs West Brom (A): Win

vs Coventry City (A): Loss

vs Norwich City (H): Win

vs Oxford Utd (H): Win

vs Ipswich Town (H): Draw

vs Wrexham (A): Draw (1-1)

vs Derby County (H): Win

vs Swansea City (A): Draw

vs Bristol City (H): Win

vs Blackburn Rovers (H): Win

vs Preston (A): Loss

 

 

 

Edited 6 hours ago by West end Saints

[die Mannyschaft]

I would rather have the points on the board than game in hand. Derby now back in the mix. 

Watching Wrexham in FA cup tonight I'm not sure we can contain thier attack, certainly not corners. 

[Andy Hill]

Agree about Wrexham - way too strong and physical for our lot.

[Football Special]

Just now, Andy Hill said:

Agree about Wrexham - way too strong and physical for our lot.

Very very impressive this evening weren't they, get the ball forward so quickly