http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/bastardi-europe-blog.asp?partner=accuweather
WEDNESDAY NOON EASTERN
I GUESS CNN MAKES IT OFFICIAL.
CNN had a new headline saying that there is a crippling snowstorm going on in England. Whewwwww, that's a load off my mind. I was worried that with this headline from my Saturday post:
SATURDAY 5 PM
LOOK OUT ENGLAND, A BAD MOON'S A-RISING.
POTENTIAL CRIPPLING SNOWSTORM ON THE HORIZON FOR SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ENGLAND!
People might accuse me of hyping the weather situation.
But now that CNN is calling it that, I guess I can breathe easy. After all once the mainstream media reports it, then we all know it's the truth.
Ciao for now. ****
WEDNESDAY MORNING DUEL REPORT
I have a video online detailing how the same pattern that occurred when screams of ice age were heard in the 1970s is occurring now.
In the coldest winter since the 1970s, Jan. 1-10 in the Northern Hemisphere major population centers, the rep cities after five days stand at -8.3. There is nothing even close to this in the last 20 years for the same period. The "duel" ends on Jan 10.
http://www.dailyexpress.co.uk/posts/view/149760 Gas supplies running out? stay warm.
After reading this: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1240082/It-gigantic-supercomputer-1-/in dex.html
I am thankful that the super-computers thought this would be a mild winter. What would have happened if it actually saw it would be cold?
By the way folks, the only value of these powerful computers is that they can arrive at the wrong answer as fast as they arrive at the right one.
Ciao for now. ****
TUESDAY EVENING.
WHAT IS LEFT FOR ME TO SAY?
Folks, for the last three weeks I have been posting quite a bit on this cold that was coming. Now that it is obvious, the best I can do is simply report to you on the worldwide test.
What else am I supposed to say? There is nothing else since I AM A FORECASTER, NOT A NOWCASTER. Anyone can come in tell you it's snowing and cold, once it's snowing and cold.
But hopefully this winter will wake people up to the EXTREME position that has been taken by climate scientists on the global warming issue. For I must point out to you that the forecasts for cold winters came from people that A) are predominately private forecasters and b) have been at this competitive situation so long, that they are well aware of the practical aspects of the climate.
I am not talking about ivory tower dictating from above, but instead the ditchdiggers that do this every day of their life out of love of subject. The goal is not to "save the planet" but to nail the forecast.
So the very people that did not see this, now are issuing all sorts of alerts and warnings, alerts and warnings judging by their ideas beforehand, they couldn't have expected for the winter.
I don't ask these people to quit their jobs, nor should they be chastised for their forecast. What they should rein in is the elitist attitude that they KNOW the future, be it a day, week month, year, decade, etc. And quit screaming that the hottest year on record is on the way when the warm winter is buried in a Scottish snowbank.
Winters like this will become more common the next few decades. After we get through with ocean cycles, Pacific and Atlantic that are colder and some of the ideas with solar cycles, we will be able to see that the Earth's temp is relative to when we started using the satellite. My forecast is that it will return to at least where it was, and perhaps even farther... back to where we were in the 1800s. But the cooling is just as likely as the screaming and yelling about warming.
So what is the value of seeing this winter? Nothing if you don't use what is happening as a reason to question dictates on the future. I am not asking you to believe me, but let the cold of the winter be a reminder that you have a life, a mind, a future, and the least you should do is search for the answer by looking at all the ideas, not simply accept a force fed a solution that may not be needed.
There is not much else I can say about the current pattern. It is for the nowcasters. I will look for things others aren't seeing, and I will keep reporting the situation as far as the global challenge, as I want to see how good that idea was based on real data.
Ciao for now. ****
Tuesday Duel Report
After four days, the test cities for how cold this outbreak is in the major industrial areas of the Northern Hemisphere stand at -8!
MONDAY DUEL REPORT.
After three days, the test cities for the worldwide duel have a cumulative total of 7.4 BELOW normal.
Ciao for now. ***
EXTREME COLD TAKING COLD FROM SPAIN TO THE UKRAINE AND NORTH. EURO SNOWCOVER EXPANDS ANEW.
After two days of the worldwide Jan. 1-10 temp challenges, the selected cities in the Far East, North America and Europe combined stand at -6! The core of the cold is just starting its attack. This forecast was issued back at Christmas and it's only now that the media picked up on my ideas.
The threat of crippling snow looks to be less for England as the storm track is too far southeast. However, there will be plenty of snow in this part of Europe the next 7-10 days and we can all argue with each other on which was worse, the cold or snow. I am starting here because I appear I was overdone yesterday on the late week snow threat. It is going to snow, but not as much a I thought in over such a wide area.
There will be areas that have their deepest winter snowcover in many years by the 10th.
But for the continent as a whole, this next week to 10 days will be as severe as any in the past 20 years. I hear talk of it being the worst in 100 years; I don't know about that, since I had not researched back that far. One could have snuck in without me seeing it. But the winter, as I opined earlier is going to one overall that will remind us of what Dickens would write about.
Overall, the storm is moving farther south and east and that spares England from the widespread extreme event (Again most places are going to get significant snow over the next week to 10 days, but the specific storm threat is something I believe I erred on. I am sure my detractors will come after me... which amuses me since most of them had no idea this kind of winter was on the way in the first place.) However farther southeast, it means the snowcover spreads back south again and it may even snow a second time on the Riviera... isn't that Nice?
Overall, for the continent, it's the second surge, and worse than the first, of weather that leads to more hardship than the general European public was lead to believe would happen from the non private sources.
Stay warm. Ciao for now. ****
