SaintBobby

Arse. Anyone willing to take the draw now?

Groan 2-1 Villa

Everton equalise. Nice.

Saved. Sweet!

Sigh. QPR penalty.

Hmmm. Chances of that happening to Morgan are quite high then.

I want a Scotland defeat. I reckon Saints can finish above Scotland.

This game sounds truly awful on 5 live.

That's my shout...

Still not wholly convinced by J-Rod. Seems to have potential - but I've been a tad underwhelmed so far. (Btw, just mentioned on Radio 5 that Norwich tried to buy him in the Jan transfer window apparently...must have missed that rumour)

Am I right that he gets suspended if/when he chalks up 10 yellows? Or is there an amnesty/reboot at some point in the season?

That seems to be the conventional wisdom - does anyone know if it's actually borne out by the stats? (i.e. is it generally the case that the weaker teams perform better in the last 1/3 of the season?)

Just had a glance at the table. Wigan's home form is pretty abysmal - W 2 D 3 L 7 (-10 GD) Worse than their away form of W 3 D 2 L 7 (-. In fact, their away form is better by exactly the 2-0 winning margin they had at St Mary's....

Norwich win please. I want QPR dead and buried.

Worse than that, I'd thought. I agree relegation is now a nailed on certainty, that's why I have put £10,000 on it at 13/8 with the bookies...which is basically £16,250 of free money come May. I think you're insanely optimistic to believe we can replicate Watford though. They are resurgent. The most likely outcome is that we will hover around lower reaches of the Championship, before dropping back into League One after a season or two. (Probably with a ten point penalty by then, as well)

I'd take a point. (almost always would for an away game in this division) Wigan are the bookies favourities, btw at 11/8. We're 5/2 and the draw is 5/2 too. I don't know why people think it will require 40 points to stay up. Yeah, it may do if the struggling teams perform much better in the remaining 14 games than in the first 24. But at the moment the bottom four are only averaging 0.83 points a game. If that continues, then 32 points would be enough to stay up.

The spat with the Sun got so embarrassing and OTT that I'm unsurprised Cortese intervened and met with them. I stand by my view that he doesn't really care, though. This doesn't mean he will do absolutely nothing if the country's most popular paper starts completely ridiculing him and the club. That's just about worth a few hours of his time to resolve. But that hardly means he has a remotely serious media engagement strategy. Far from it.

I'd actually prefer 2 draws rather than 3 points from losing to Wigan and beating Man City.

Cortese doesn't really care about the press. I think this is unwise, all in all, but that seems to be the position.

There is no prospect of PKF waiving their fee and leaving, say, £2m lying around for the Trust to rebuild the club. They may not claim their full fee - but only if there is no cash to meet their full fee. They aren't going to leave money around to sign up a tasty midfielder. Furthermore, if Chanrai loses on Feb 14th (or at the court date set on Feb 14th), he is almost certainly going to appeal and/or litigate against PKF etc. So, even if the verdict of the court is "yes, you can have Chanrai's charge for £2.7m", that is very unlikely to be the end of the matter in court. Finally, the amount in the Trust's bank account is only around £1m. A fair proportion of this (£150K?) will be "unrealised" pledges (the £100 was put down, but the £900 never materialised). The Trust's ability to use this money is deeply questionable. It's not just c. £1m for Farmery to shove on the table. The hoops they will have to go through to use that cash for any purpose other than that it was specifically pledged for are huge and horrendous. The £100 unconverted pledges are almost certainly not usable - even though they will be included in the Trust's c. £1m total. This is such a trivial, tied-up amount of money overall that the Trust are - at best - a bit player in any possible takeover.

I'd take a point. This is emphatically NOT a must win game. IMHO, even if we lose 4-0, we'll probably stay up.

Such "optimism" has a lot of realism. The % likelihood is that we will not pick up an enormous string of bad injuries between now and the end of the season. It's only a %, of course, it's like buying (or not buying) insurance. Additionally, compared with the start of the season, we have a far better idea of the players who can cope with Premiership football. (e.g. back in August, I don't think it was obvious to many that Fox would be so weak at this level and that Shaw would be so strong....Cork and Morgan have both shown themselves to be able to cut the mustard and don't need replacing etc). Obviously, were we to suffer terrible injuries to Lambert, Lallana (again), Ramirez, Clyne, Shaw, Schneiderlin, Puncheon and Cork, well then the starting XI looks very threadbare. But it's not obvious that we should (or could) spend, say, £20m seeking to completely mitigate this risk. With the possible exception of Lambert, we have good cover in virtually every position. So, any likely spread of injuries (say, losing 2 or 3 players for a total of 10-12 matches between them) can be pretty satisfactorily covered. Yep, the team might only be 90% as good as it otherwise would be, but that's livable with.

Not too surprised really. Glad we've got Forren in - that was always the key slot to add to. Slightly odd putting de Ridder out on loan with no replacement. Reeves to Southend makes some sense as he is unlikely to get any serious playing time here. Barnard and Forte are just shuffling players who won't play here again. All in all, quite pleased with the quality and even the depth of the squad. Of course, with a string of injuries we look weaker, but there are only 14 games left and we're not far from a fully fit squad. We have very acceptable cover for virtually every position, with the possible exception of left back. (but even there, we will probably play Shaw for all but c. 180 mins of the remainder of the season)

If we end up finishing behind QPR, we probably deserve to go down. Although their form has improved, they really shouldn't catch us. I am now starting to believe that at least 3 teams will finish behind us....

Not much movement for us...maybe one or two fringe players out and one or two "squad depth" players in. At most. That's my guess.