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Dark Munster

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Everything posted by Dark Munster

  1. Yes, it looks like one of Leeds, Brentford and Everton to join Watford and Norwich. I think Everton will survive because Leeds and Brentford are shittier. Brentford and Leeds are dropping like stones, and meet on the last game of the season, so that could be interesting. I would love it, love it, if Leeds were to go down. It depends how long Bamford and Phillips are out.
  2. Where's @CB Fry?
  3. Umm, that would be Everton vs Boreham Wood. Our match is close to 50-50 I'd say.
  4. I'm not sure it's all luck. A few years ago our injury record was consistently awful, over a long period of time (many seasons). I was bemoaning us being always near the bottom of the physio room rankings, and wondered why we couldn't be like Leicester, who were equally consistently near the top. Then something seemed to have changed, and we now have a very good record (a blip at the end of last season could be explained by Covid and lack of access to facilities at Staplewood). I think the club have employed some excellent therapists and basically followed Leicester's lead. Yes there will always be some unlucky injuries (bad tackles), but minimising "avoidable" injuries is playing a big part in our upturn.
  5. Not really, Poch inherited an excellent squad and won the square root of fuck all. As for Levy, I'm not sure he's one of the worst chairmen from Spurs' point of view, since he's pulled our pants down many times. From Saints' perspective yes, he's terrible!
  6. I heard a story, probably apocryphal, that Clough went to a player and quietly told him that he was the best and most important player in the squad, but the player must swear not tell anyone, and if he did he would deny it. Then he went and told the same thing quietly to a dozen of his other players.
  7. It's not about fatigue, it's about trying to avoid possible injuries. I certainly wouldn't want/expect a Coventry-type crap starting line up against Norwich, but if any key player has the slightest twinge or niggle I'd swap him out with someone expendable (e.g. Walcott).
  8. With a brilliant manager.
  9. One with plenty of head room?
  10. Hi @SaintBobby: Here is an example that perhaps makes it clearer. This'll be my last post on this, I don't want to bore other posters to death (that's MLG's job 😉). Suppose there are 4 teams, A, B, C and D who are the only ones who could get relegated, and all four have equal chance of going down. Then they each have a 3 out of 4 = 75% chance of going down (3 relegation spots for 4 teams). Suppose we all hate teams A, B and C and want all three of them to go down. What are the chances of A, B and C all going down? By your calculation it's 75% X 75% X 75% = 42%. But that's incorrect, the odds of all three going down is the same as the odds of team D surviving, which is 25%.
  11. If they were independent events that's true. But if one team is destined to go down that would affect the odds of survival for the others (they would all improve). For example, Newcastle currently at 36% is calculated based on all other possibilities for who the other 2 relegated teams could be. But, for example, if we have a crystal ball and know Saints are to more or less lose all our remaining matches and go down, then Newcastle would only have to finish above 2 crap teams rather than 3, so their odds of survival would go up. That's a silly extreme example, but hopefully gives an idea of what I'm babbling on about. It reminds me of the 2 goats and car behind 3 doors game: knowing a door where one goat is affects the odds as opposed to not knowing.
  12. Or his contract is soon to expire and he's doing a Saganowski?
  13. Actually probably less than 2% all three will be. Because if one goes down the odds of survival for the other two go up.
  14. Did Bednarek score the first goal?
  15. Speak for yourself, you miserable old git. I'm not!
  16. You never know how they develop. The fear is having another Lamina, Hoedt, Boufal, Osvaldo, The Donkey, and all the other crap that we couldn't get rid of, except at a great loss.
  17. Don't forget 8th place and runners up in the Cup is a sackable offense!
  18. Burnley have games in hand and are no mugs, and Weghorst looks like a very good replacement for Wood. I think they'll be fine. I think Brentford have shot their wad and will join Norwich and Watford.
  19. Unlikely but not impossible, they do have some world class players. They certainly have a better chance than Sporting!
  20. Yes, that's the only way an 8th placed team qualifies for Europe! As I mentioned before, if 5 teams qualify for CL then the PL simply loses a non-CL spot to keep the total number of European places the same. What would be quite amusing if West Ham were to win Euro League, Man Utd the CL, and both miss out on the top 4 place. Then those 2 would qualify for the CL, but only the top 3 would join them (6 teams in the CL is not allowed). The 4th placed team would be SOL and drop into the Euro League. If the victims were Spurs that would be highly amusing.
  21. Guilty m'lud, I was being rather naughty. I ignored his wild celebration just before.
  22. Cheers @the boy from saints! Minsk would be proud.
  23. The only thing worse than having VAR is not having VAR.
  24. Armando celebrating Long's goal .... #OneOfUs
  25. 18 points from 5 matches would be an incredible return. The PL may investigate though ....
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