In the last few seasons it would have needed 40, 37, 38, 34, 36, 38. No team has survived in the Premier League with less than 34 points, ( West Brom survived with 34 in 2004/2005 ), 2 teams have survived on 35, West Ham went down with 42 in 2002/2003. Overall, the average suggests 38 points is actually the magic number.