SaintBobby

We are now longer odds than West Ham to be relegated. http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/relegation West Ham are - I'm told - as likely to be relegated as Manchester United. Manchester United's chance of relegation are 0%. Our chances of relegation are therefore less than 0%. (Can you see what I did there?)

We should really aim to finish in the top half now. I expected to come a cropper today, but our remaining fixtures aren't too tough - should definitely get 9 points and maybe as many as 13+. Any other deluded people agree? My only worry is we take our foot off the gas, which often seems to happen to teams who are safe(ish) in mid-table.

Two players have been turning points for our season. 1. When we got Cork back from injury 2. Jay Rod hitting amazing form I voted for Rickie though - he has been superb all season and his link up play today was a joy. We are basically safe (now 50/1 to go down). We should strive for a top half finish if we can. Happy days!

Beating Newcastle 3-1 at the Dell when we were 1-0 down with seconds to go looked dodgy - especially as Srniceck (sp?) the Newcastle keeper was at fault for all 3 goals. Still, football does sometimes throw up weird occurences.

Shld we club together to place an advert with text taking the p1ss? Sure, they get £100 or so, but the advert could point out this is only 0.00000001% of what they owe local creditors....

That's an amazing bet - congrats. If I were you, I'd lay some of it off. You can't get any meaningful odds on Pompey being relegated now and Saints are now 7/2 to finish in the top half - so your 60/1 bet is now effectively a 7/2 chance.

If Lallana is fit, I'd play him on the right and drop Puncheon to the bench.

I think that's a tad optimistic - but only a tad. Probably 11th or 12th this season and 8th-9th next.

If by "breaking into the top 7", you mean just about scraping 7th place because one of the top teams has an unusually abysmal season, then I think it is feasible. Just. With one hell of a following wind. But also a bit pointless. I'd rather win the League Cup, for example.

MLG seems to have gone quiet on using Wolves as a role model. How's that massive expansion worked out for them as they stare League One in the face?

This reminds me of England's failure to select MLT back in the 90s. I'm now hoping the national team fails to qualify for Brazil 2014.

Despite my loathing of Redknapp, I will be cheering on QPR v Wigan on Saturday. Rangers can't realistically catch Saints, Wigan can. If we beat Reading and QPR beat Wigan, our safety is basically assured.

This is the best link for how gone or not the relegation-threatened teams are. Chances of Reading and QPR going down are pretty close to certain. http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/relegation

Well, that's 24 minutes of my life I'll never get back...

Let's hope so. Then we can get that yo-yo strategy back on track. Present form is seriously endangering that strategy, as it's looking increasingly unlikely that we will successfully carry out the "getting relegated" part of the plan.

Very surprised to see Hoovield ahead of Fonte. I think Fonte has been very good. I'm happy with Fonte and Yoshida as first choice. If the manager thinks it's Fonte-Hoovield or goes for Fonte-Forren or Yoshida-Forren or whatever, well fine. I think we now have 3 or 4 good centre backs. I'd like some cover here, but am not sure I'd spend £8m or whatever.

I'll be honest. I love a good moan. And I'm willing to pay good money to have one. Watching football is one of the few things in my life where I can let off steam without any of the things going wrong being in some way my fault. That said, I don't go for any overarching analysis of any player (Lambert not fit for a pub team, Guly worse than my grandma etc), but I do shout a lot if a player misplaces a pass, fails to play in a teammate etc.

Gotta be honest, I'd take a draw. I'm sounding like a stuck record saying that every game, but we're so close to the finish line that we can get over it with just a handful of draws from here. Sorry to be so unambitious!

Spurs away. We were fantastically unlucky not to have taken any points from either of the Man Utd games, but to end the season having taken points from all of the other top 7 would be pleasing.

If that's right - and it maybe - we are safe already. (making certain, very reasonable assumptions about goal difference)

Slightly off topic, but broadly on the same theme, I was trying to work out how it WON'T go the last game of the season. Because Wigan and Villa play each other on the final day, if we go into the 38th game level with one of those teams and a single point ahead of the other, we are mathematically safe (assuming there isn't some utterly mental change to goal difference).

I'm not expecting a huge leap forward next season - probably aspiring to mid-table and never in serious danger of relegation is a good target (as with Swansea, Fulham or West Brom this year). I can't see any chance of breaking into the top 6 without truly enormous investment. Also, the difference in places around the mid-table is so small that targeting a league position rather than a points total seems a bit strange. A points total of 50 might be a good target, but this might leave you finishing anywhere from, say, 8th - 14th.

It's a pretty mental league table at the moment. Arguably there are only three teams with nothing to play for as we enter April - West Brom, Swansea and, bizarrely, Man Utd. Maybe Man city as well - who seem near certain of top 4, but have no chance of winning the title. I still don't think it will require as many as 40 points to stay up. If you treat QPR and Reading as doomed, surely there's a good chance that at least one of the other teams towards the bottom will go on a pretty horrible run - something like W 1 D 2 L 4, which would mean somewhere between 35 and 39 points will be enough to just stay up.

Bookies odds are shifting a lot tonight, but most are shifting us out towards 20/1 to be relegated.

7 defeats on the spin from here? Wow, that is pessimistic!