The ‘Boro it is then’, formerly the chase thread

[LGTL]

What a perfect final day that turned out to be. Flights booked to Newcastle for the away leg 💪 

[Lord Duckhunter]

That’s got to be the weakest 3 sides to make the play offs for a long time. Add the fact we somehow haven’t beaten any of them in 6 games (we’re due a win) , we’ll be favourites no bother. 
 

Compare it to last time, Norwich, WBA & Leeds, these sides aren’t a patch on those, are we’re better than we were then. Far better tactically and we’re flying. If we don’t go up from here it really will be a fuck up…
 

 

Edited Saturday at 13:48 by Lord Duckhunter

[Willo of Whiteley]

Millwall will be tough for whoever

[Sheaf Saint]

9 minutes ago, kwsaint said:

I believe we actually started the game with 10 men.

Don't know what you mean...

 

 

[Lord Duckhunter]

2 minutes ago, Willo of Whiteley said:

Millwall will be tough for whoever

Not at Wembley it won’t 

[Turkish]

5 minutes ago, Sheaf Saint said:

Don't know what you mean...

 

 

He was very unlucky with that the ball took a 1 in 10000000 dip right at the important moment to dip under Baz perfectly positioned dive. It was a quite brilliant strike 

[Football Special]

44 minutes ago, sfc4prem said:

Now, what was the score last time we played Boro? Reckon we've got a good chance against them in the playoffs, right?

Going to be bloody hard games, certainly tougher than when we had WBA last time 

[Willo of Whiteley]

4 hours ago, Lord Duckhunter said:

Not at Wembley it won’t 

That’s confident

[Saint86]

Note sure this is saying anything ground breaking, but it is interesting to see it broken down this way. Would broadly suggest we should be slight favourites to go up... which is probably us stuffed 😆

Edited 9 hours ago by Saint86

[Eric The Red]

1 hour ago, Saint86 said:

Note sure this is saying anything ground breaking, but it is interesting to see it broken down this way. Would broadly suggest we should be slight favourites to go up... which is probably us stuffed 😆

Lies, damned lies and statistics,   lol

One thing that struck me was that having a loss in one  of the last 3league games was seen as a big negative to your chances of promotion, lucky we didn't know that 2 years ago as our 2 losses in the last 3 would have meant we had no chance 

[Saint86]

57 minutes ago, Eric The Red said:

Lies, damned lies and statistics,   lol

One thing that struck me was that having a loss in one  of the last 3league games was seen as a big negative to your chances of promotion, lucky we didn't know that 2 years ago as our 2 losses in the last 3 would have meant we had no chance 

Don't get me wrong, thats a lot of statistical analysis to show that the higher up the league you finish, the greater your chance of winning the playoffs...

In truth, 23/24 was always going to sit somewhere outside of the norm - you had 4 clubs at the top that were far and away better than the rest.

I would be interested to see what sort of correlation exists between the relative points totals of the playoff teams, and then their ultimate promotion chance. I.e., if a team finishes say 20points clear of 4th (or basically has a high proportion of the total playoff teams points), what's their promotion chance.

Where i think Boro fans are complacent this time around, and where i think its interesting this year, is that whilst us and boro have faired almost identically over 46games, we've actually achieved it mostly over just the last half of the season. Which means that when the 2 sides meet in the playoffs, there should be no doubt in anyone's mind that we're the form side and the favourite. If boro fans / players keep going on about beating us 4-0 (or that we've struggled vs the other playoff sides) i think they're seriously overlooking how good a team we are now and that there is a marked difference between the saints side then and now. Here is to hoping anyway.

Just hope there are no terrible ref decisions or ludicrous deflected goals etc. etc., that end up costing us - its one thing to lose to a better side on the day, and another thing entirely to come away feeling hard done by.

Edited 6 hours ago by Saint86

[2Morrow]

On 07/02/2026 at 18:05, 2Morrow said:

4 Points off sixth

45 points to play for (15 Games left)

Plausible again? Or ready for another crumble?

I fall on the side that a club with the resources we have at our disposable should really be able to do it.

 

Caught them!

[SNSUN]

1 hour ago, 2Morrow said:

Caught them!

...and then some. 37 points from 15 games was outstanding - just a shame we didn't get more points at the start of the season or automatics would have been easy. 

Also looking at that, all credit to Millwall who got 30 points from 15 games and did enough to stay above us. Ipswich got 30 in 16 games too. Needs pointing out Hull only got 20 and Wrexham only got 18 in that time. I can't believe I ever doubted we'd make the play-offs. Shows what I know. 

[trousers]

10 minutes ago, SNSUN said:

I can't believe I ever doubted we'd make the play-offs. Shows what I know. 

Given nobody knew how the season was going to pan out with 15 games to go, you've nothing to be self-critical about. Indeed, believing that we wouldn't make the play offs was probably the most logical prediction given where we were at the time... In other words, don't judge the credibility of predictions on the outcome... (Unless you're a Saintsweb hero that likes to collect "told you so" medals of course...  )

Edited 3 hours ago by trousers

[SNSUN]

14 minutes ago, trousers said:

Given nobody knew how the season was going to pan out with 15 games to go, you've nothing to be self-critical about. Indeed, believing that we wouldn't make the play offs was probably the most logical prediction given where we were at the time... In other words, don't judge the credibility of predictions on the outcome... (Unless you're a Saintsweb hero that likes to collect "told you so" medals of course...  )

How did you know my secret identity...

[Willo of Whiteley]

Mad to think of the opportunity we’d have had if we’d just recruited properly with a GK, a ST and a manager 🤷🏻‍♂️

[RedArmy]

4 hours ago, 2Morrow said:

Caught them!

38 goals in our last 15 games is some going too! 

[Sheaf Saint]

27 minutes ago, RedArmy said:

38 goals in our last 15 games is some going too! 

Indeed. Extrapolate that over a full season, that's 117 goals. Twenty more than Coventry scored - and they were banging them in left, right and centre in the early part of the season.

[SNSUN]

30 minutes ago, RedArmy said:

38 goals in our last 15 games is some going too! 

AND our top scorer is still Adam Armstrong. Which shows how much everyone has stepped up and shared the goals around.

[Sheaf Saint]

5 hours ago, Saint86 said:

Just hope there are no terrible ref decisions or ludicrous deflected goals etc. etc., that end up costing us - its one thing to lose to a better side on the day, and another thing entirely to come away feeling hard done by.

Like the absolute freak OG that Leon Best scored at Pride Park in 2007...

 

[bpsaint]

1 hour ago, Sheaf Saint said:

Like the absolute freak OG that Leon Best scored at Pride Park in 2007...

 

Ahhh memories. I know it turned into a bit of a wet horror show, but I will never ever forget being amongst that away end when Rasiak scored.