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Posted

With a new formation and potentially a new striker in the team, what’s your prediction in the make or break run;

Watford (H) draw 

Leicester (A) draw 

Charlton (H) win 

QPR (H) win 

Sheff Weds (A) win 

11 points from 15. 

 

 

 

 

Posted
8 minutes ago, Wiggles31 said:

With a new formation and potentially a new striker in the team, what’s your prediction in the make or break run;

Watford (H) draw 

Leicester (A) draw 

Charlton (H) win 

QPR (H) win 

Sheff Weds (A) win 

11 points from 15. 

 

 

 

 

Draw, win, win, draw, win.

Posted
2 hours ago, Football Special said:

It's a nice run of fixtures if Saints can get some momentum going, but who knows with us. 

Sheffield Wednesday away end of the month should be a good trip, they're doing us cheap tickets , looking forward to that one 

https://www.southamptonfc.com/en/sheffield-wednesday-vs-southampton-2526

IF and it is a massive IF, we have a run of decent results, the take up of tickets for the Hillsborough game will be very strong.
My last visit to the ground was in 2007(?) when we conceded a last minute goal scored by their 'keeper.

Posted

In the last ten seasons the points total for 6th place has been;

68
73
69
75
77
70
74
75
80
74

an average of over 75 points. To reach that we need 35 more points from 16 games, probably therefore 11 wins. To even match Bristol City's 68 points last season we would need 28, most likely needing to win at least half of the remaining matches whilst losing no more than 4.

 

  • Like 3
Posted
18 minutes ago, badgerx16 said:

Watford have taken 2 points from their last 4 games, if we are seeking the playoffs we really have to beat them at St Marys.

They play midweek away at Hull as well 

Posted
Just now, badgerx16 said:

In the last ten seasons the points total for 6th place has been;

68
73
69
75
77
70
74
75
80
74

an average of over 75 points. To reach that we need 35 more points from 16 games, probably therefore 11 wins. To even match Bristol City's 68 points last season we would need 28, most likely needing to win at least half of the remaining matches whilst losing no more than 4.

 

Yeah we're too inconsistent for that aren't we 

Posted
4 minutes ago, badgerx16 said:

In the last ten seasons the points total for 6th place has been;

68
73
69
75
77
70
74
75
80
74

an average of over 75 points. To reach that we need 35 more points from 16 games, probably therefore 11 wins. To even match Bristol City's 68 points last season we would need 28, most likely needing to win at least half of the remaining matches whilst losing no more than 4.

 

When its put like that in the cold light of day I can’t see this team achieving this

  • Like 2
Posted
3 hours ago, Golac's Cunning Stunts said:

When its put like that in the cold light of day I can’t see this team achieving this

right?

but if you say.. just 7 points from 6th place right now, that feels better.

.

we need another stretch like we had in November when we went from 19th to 9th... this team is capable.

Posted
4 hours ago, badgerx16 said:

In the last ten seasons the points total for 6th place has been;

68
73
69
75
77
70
74
75
80
74

an average of over 75 points. To reach that we need 35 more points from 16 games, probably therefore 11 wins. To even match Bristol City's 68 points last season we would need 28, most likely needing to win at least half of the remaining matches whilst losing no more than 4.

 

Another way of analysing that list is that the average over the last 6 years is 72.

Still would mean 10 wins and 2 draws from 16 games. Highly unlikely given our performances over the season,    but not impossible

As Badger says, it's the hope that kills you

Posted
11 hours ago, badgerx16 said:

In the last ten seasons the points total for 6th place has been;

68
73
69
75
77
70
74
75
80
74

an average of over 75 points. To reach that we need 35 more points from 16 games, probably therefore 11 wins. To even match Bristol City's 68 points last season we would need 28, most likely needing to win at least half of the remaining matches whilst losing no more than 4.

 

Spot on. So we need to go on an astonishing run which I don't think we are capable of.

Let's say we win the next 3 in a row - making us 5 wins out of 6, pretty stonking form. Even if we do that, we still won't be top 6. We'd be top 10 but not top 6. So we'd need another run of amazing form on top of that.

There were a lot of draws in the Russell Martin unbeaten run, we would need to better that this year. Straight wins is what we need.

  • Like 4
Posted
9 hours ago, Colinjb said:

I'm saying 7 points. We have the potential to do more, but, such is our season.

I like to think such “was” our season, 4 at the back, Peretz in goal, Bree back from loan, Charles back from injury, Ross back from injury, Tonda being more pragmatic, seven points from nine. Maybe sign a striker?? 
 

im a bit more optimistic at the moment. 

  • Like 1
Posted

Watford (H) draw 

Leicester (A) win

Charlton (H) win 

QPR (H) win 

Sheff Weds (A) win 

13 points from 15. 

Based on tactics and formation not changing too much and at least a striker in window. Should be winning home games for 6th place so we need to get a run going. All these games are winnable and we won't get a better run of games.

Posted

In the championship it does not seem to matter who you are playing, the results are just random. I think it seems to go with who is on a good run at that time, and is the run going to end and go on a crap run now! All season there have been teams that had good runs and are now crap or indifferent and are next opposition are the ones that went on a good run and are now not looking as good. 

Now - Derby and they will turn indifferent again soon. 
The teams that have done this are below. 

Charlton, Stoke, Preston, Saints, Blackburn, QPR, Bristol City, and the above. 

If we are on the purple patch we should win the next couple of games, maybe 3 and then lose a couple and draw one. 

So for this reason I am going to go 7 points. 

Win, win, lose, lose, draw. But surely that would be mad, as my head says 

Win, draw, win, draw, win - 11 points. 🤷🏽 

Posted
16 hours ago, spyinthesky said:

IF and it is a massive IF, we have a run of decent results, the take up of tickets for the Hillsborough game will be very strong.
My last visit to the ground was in 2007(?) when we conceded a last minute goal scored by their 'keeper.

We took about 3500 up there on a Friday night first game of the season in August 2023 , good city to make a weekend of it as well 👍 

 

  • Like 1
Posted (edited)
4 hours ago, CB Fry said:

Spot on. So we need to go on an astonishing run which I don't think we are capable of.

Let's say we win the next 3 in a row - making us 5 wins out of 6, pretty stonking form. Even if we do that, we still won't be top 6. We'd be top 10 but not top 6. So we'd need another run of amazing form on top of that.

There were a lot of draws in the Russell Martin unbeaten run, we would need to better that this year. Straight wins is what we need.

I agree we'd need an astonishing run of form , astonishing transfer deadline day bringing in at least two very good loans and astonishing Ross Stewart staying fit for 16 games , could happen but odds not in our favour 

Edited by Football Special
Posted

We need Champions league form now but .... in this league once you hit a winning streak it tends to run on for a while. Coventry, Boro, and Ipswich have shown that 

Despite our jitters the team remains a force to be reckoned with, and Tonda seems to be learning fast. I can easily see Saints going on one of those runs, equally they could fall flat who knows.

What we do know is that finally the formation seems to have been sorted, and players who have not been performing have been dropped.  That in itself makes for a more cohesive team. A decent signing by Monday and it's game on.

So with that in mind I'm going optimistic on this one 

Watford (H) win

Leicester (A) draw

Charlton (H) win

QPR (H) win 

Sheff Weds (A) win 

13 points from 15. 

The QPR game is the big one. By then teams will have worked out how to nullify our new tactics. That will be Tonda's big test.

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