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How much influence will the Derby result have on the Administration "decision" ?


trousers

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We are alot closer to admin than some people think. I am also very confidant that if it looks like we are going down anyway, then the plug will be pulled before the end of this month.

 

Having said that, whilst there is a chance of staying up, we might well hang in and take the hit next season.

 

It is not a question of if, but when.

 

We cannot run the club on the gates we are getting at the moment, it barely pays the interest on the overdrafts / mortgage etc.

 

The only way we will get out of this is if we have new investment.

 

We are losing money every day/week/month with the prospect of even less money coming into the club next season ( i suspect about 4-5k season tickets ) then it's just a matter of when.

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I wish you were right but you are not. We are hanging by a thread. I have that on good authority.

 

 

Weston I was of the opinion we were close to administration but I have had a re think. Lowe may be an idiot inmany ways, but, stupid he is not. I believe that as he has NOT approached Crouch he is of that opinion, hev would do anything to protect his investment including sitting with his personal devil...Crouch

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This week does seem to be turning into something of a watershed.

 

The team have gone back to being sh*te and don't look as if they care now. This seems to have filtered through to the fans who have likewise gone cold and it is starting to look as if the fans in the stadium have all but given up on this annus horribilus at Saints (that has nothing to do with bottoms btw). ;)

 

Clearly decisions will have to be made on the question of administration. I don't know what Barclays view is on putting us in, or Lowe's view on voluntarily doing so. However, if the latter I am hoping Lowe will adopt the Coventry model and give a week or so of notice so that any interested party may strike a deal to take over (at a rock bottom price) and keep us solvent, thus saving any points deduction.

 

This assumes any party would be interested, but by this stage if there is anyone out there they must just be waiting for an admin announcement before perhaps acting.

 

However, I am still doubtful Lowe will go voluntary as what's in it for him? It would be a clear admission of his failure and he would have done his and his mates dough. Doesn't sound like Lowe does it? Maybe it's all down to Barclays in the next couple of weeks, but will they care less about timing when we get to take a 10 point penalty ???

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If administration was going to happen it would have done by now.

What is it with people fixated on Administration? its like they want it for the club or something :D

 

It is being used by both sides of the spectrum

Luvvies use it to justify every decision

Fringe see it as away to get rid of Lowe and Co.

 

Those of us in the middle ground , do not want it and want Lowe gone

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What administration "decision"?

 

This one:

 

Lowe point for Southampton

 

Southampton's beleaguered chairman Rupert Lowe, who regained a club left in financial meltdown by the chronic mismanagement of the regime that forced him out of office, will have to make a major decision by the third week of March.

That is whether to put the club into administration and take the Football League’s 10-point penalty this season.

Southampton, whose bank Barclays are threatening to reduce their overdraft facility considerably, have to find extra monies by the end of next month to keep afloat.

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I heard from a Steward yesterday that extra police have been drafted in for the QPR match as the club are expecting trouble from the fans as the club will go into Admin this coming Friday.

 

I don’t know what to believe any more.

 

With the exception of Exit2 (And only ever read his stuff on here) i've always found the best thing to do with any info given by stewards, is to believe the complete opposite to what they tell you.

 

Which should mean we are safe from Admin :D

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With the exception of Exit2 (And only ever read his stuff on here) i've always found the best thing to do with any info given by stewards, is to believe the complete opposite to what they tell you.

 

Which should mean we are safe from Admin :D

 

Lol, agreed....but i hate having this nagging doubt in the back of my mind ;-)

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With Rasiak finding form for Watford and the unlikelyness of them going down, we might get an offer for him. If Surman is linked to a move then maybe a fee can be agreed now. Maybe one or two others might get an agreed fee in place (Saga). Also with contracts running out, I can't see Barclays pulling the plug until the summer.

Its wether or not its done voluntary. Then results could be crucial in the deciding factor. QPR game could be the straw that breaks the camels back.

Edited by slickmick
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Obviously, the poor performance and result against Derby last isn't significant enough in isolation to put us into administration but I wonder how close it could be to being the straw that breaks the camel's back?

 

We'll see things a lot more clearly on saturday evening.

Us vs QPR, Barnsley-Blackpool and Norwich-Plymouth will change things one way or t'other.

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We are alot closer to admin than some people think. I am also very confidant that if it looks like we are going down anyway, then the plug will be pulled before the end of this month.

 

Having said that, whilst there is a chance of staying up, we might well hang in and take the hit next season.

 

It is not a question of if, but when.

 

We cannot run the club on the gates we are getting at the moment, it barely pays the interest on the overdrafts / mortgage etc.

 

The only way we will get out of this is if we have new investment.

 

We are losing money every day/week/month with the prospect of even less money coming into the club next season ( i suspect about 4-5k season tickets ) then it's just a matter of when.

 

Interesting then that Wildes programme notes for the Cardiff game says that they have had a number of very constructive meeting with the banks and other finacial backers in recent times - not the talk of a club going into admin? Still think it is a way off personally - maybe with relegation; but are we really that asset bare? The thing is not sure we ever know the whole picture - rumour after rumour! Lets just concentrate on the football side of things!

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Did anyone see the TV program "Inside Out" last night on Weymouth FC and their fight for survival? I think there were property developers involved at some stage that bought into the club because there was potential with the land around the stadium. Anyway, it was interesting to hear they adopted a "youth policy" when they no longer had money to pay their senior players - the youths were highly pleased to be given the chance finally to play for the 1st team, but the results went dramatically downhill. Gates dwindled thus plummetting the club into deeper financial turmoil. Now where have I heard that story before...it does sound remarkably familiar does it not?

 

Saints must be close to going under - the gates cannot possibly support the overheads - there's a firesale of everything not bolted down (BOGOF in the shop) - the stadium debt is crippling....etc. etc.

 

The only thing I really hope for now is that there is someone out there waiting with their money for admin to occur so they can buy the club and not need to worry about 1,000's of shareholders to placate. I still find it hard to believe one man has masterminded the collapse of a PLC in such a short period of time...

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I still find it hard to believe one man has masterminded the collapse of a PLC in such a short period of time...

 

I agree, it must be some sort of world record.

 

It's hard to know if it is vindictiveness or just plain old incompetence. Either way we are stuffed.

 

All the perpetrator had to do was keep NP and let him bring in sensible loans, like last year, not the complete sh*te some unknown Dutchman has saddled us with.

 

To add insult to injury the four (yes count em!) Dutchman plus JP's coming and going expenses, plus the wages and fees for so much rubbish on loan absolutely MUST add up to far more than NP and his loans would have cost. Meanwhile what good players we have are shipped out on loan to our rivals!

 

Seriously you couldn't make this stuff up and you have to wonder what regulations are in place to reign in those who prove to be failures at running a PLC. Unfortunately that's how the world got in the mess it's currently in, so the answer is probably no meaningful regulations at all.

 

Meanwhile we all sit here waiting for relegation or administration or worse. Such a sad waste for a great city and a great football club.

 

Thanks for nothing.....

 

(All IMHO of course)

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I heard from a Steward yesterday that extra police have been drafted in for the QPR match as the club are expecting trouble from the fans as the club will go into Admin this coming Friday.

 

I don’t know what to believe any more.

 

I heard that same rumour in the Varsity before the game.

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I may be missing something here, but IF the club are on the verge of going into administration why would they announce it on the Friday before a home game? (other than to satisfy SaintsWeb Law regarding Fridays)

 

If they suspect that this will cause "trouble" before, during or after the game on Saturday then why not just defer the announcement for 24/48/72 hours?

 

As I understood it, the announcement 'deadline' is next week, not this week

 

Am I missing something? (like having a clue about what is going on, for example)

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I can't see the results will change the decision of the deadline. As far as the banks are concerned i suppose they are going to get more money in this league then in league 1 so they will probably hold off until they absolutely have to, also i can't see admin really benefiting them that much, can't see anybody buying the stadium.

 

As for a boardroom decision Lowe's not going to place us into admin unless he absolutely has to because he will then be banned from becoming a director for the rest of this life and so is pretty much career suicide.

 

NB - I apologise if i my knowledge on the matter is slightly wayward but this is how i see things currently.

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As the deadline for taking the points hit this season is Thursday the 26th it wouldn't make any sense to announce it this week.

 

My guess would be that the bank have given us some leeway to help us stay up, they will only put us in admin if we are obviously down after the Blackpool game. Whilst there is still a chance of staying up it makes no sense for the bank to push for admin. If we go down there is little chance of them getting their overdraft paid off.

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I can't see the results will change the decision of the deadline. As far as the banks are concerned i suppose they are going to get more money in this league then in league 1 so they will probably hold off until they absolutely have to, also i can't see admin really benefiting them that much, can't see anybody buying the stadium.

 

As for a boardroom decision Lowe's not going to place us into admin unless he absolutely has to because he will then be banned from becoming a director for the rest of this life and so is pretty much career suicide.

 

NB - I apologise if i my knowledge on the matter is slightly wayward but this is how i see things currently.

 

I don't believe that is so. He could, however, be barred from directorships if he is declared bankrupt or if he knowingly trades in an insolvent company.

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i think the decision has always been that if are x points adrift by y date then we would go into admin.......now we just have to work out what x and y are?

i would say that our recent form has changed the dynamics of the whole thing and tbh the derby game was a good result when you look at the big picture.derby have hit some decent form of late and i would have taken a draw before the game.

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i think the decision has always been that if are x points adrift by y date then we would go into admin.......now we just have to work out what x and y are?

i would say that our recent form has changed the dynamics of the whole thing and tbh the derby game was a good result when you look at the big picture.derby have hit some decent form of late and i would have taken a draw before the game.

No, the decision has to do with money and "going concern" not points as far as I am aware.
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I heard that same rumour in the Varsity before the game.

 

 

 

doesn't say anything about administration in the match preview on the OS though, I'm sure they'd find a positive spin to put on it if it t'were the case.

 

Extra police for 2000 beered up QPR chavs, that I can believe.

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No, the decision has to do with money and "going concern" not points as far as I am aware.

 

i understand that it is all about money weston but there must be a time when the two deciding factors,money and points come together to form a 'no going back' point,when a decision is made to go into admin?

 

if we are potless but safe from relegation would we need to go into admin?...perhaps not,if we are potless and looking like certainties for the drop then perhaps we should take the hit.

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