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Thread: The all new relegation priced thread 2019 (it gets earlier every year!).

  1. Default The all new relegation priced thread 2019 (it gets earlier every year!).

    In to around 9/2 on Betfair after yesterday's somewhat underwhelming opener. I'll be laying some of that - don't think we'll be anywhere near it this year personally.......

  2. #2

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    I always place insurance bets as its money I'm happy to lose, but covers worst case scenarios

    So backed us for relegation although i would be surprised if we were (poorer sides than us IMHO)

    Backed Liverpool again for the title and CL

    + Pompey promotion

    Insurance bets works for me and has made me a lot last few seasons

  3. #3

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    Quote Originally Posted by Heisenberg View Post
    I always place insurance bets as its money I'm happy to lose, but covers worst case scenarios

    So backed us for relegation although i would be surprised if we were (poorer sides than us IMHO)

    Backed Liverpool again for the title and CL

    + Pompey promotion

    Insurance bets works for me and has made me a lot last few seasons
    Name 3 worse sides than us?

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  4. #4

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    Quote Originally Posted by Saint_Tony View Post
    Name 3 worse sides than us?

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    Norwich, Sheff United, Brighton. Despite yesterday even Burnley

  5. #5

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    Quote Originally Posted by Heisenberg View Post
    I always place insurance bets as its money I'm happy to lose, but covers worst case scenarios

    So backed us for relegation although i would be surprised if we were (poorer sides than us IMHO)

    Backed Liverpool again for the title and CL

    + Pompey promotion

    Insurance bets works for me and has made me a lot last few seasons
    How did backing Liverpool for the title, Saints to get relegated and Pompey to get promoted earn you money last year? Serious question.

  6. #6

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    Chomp chomp chomp

  7. #7

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    Quote Originally Posted by Faz View Post
    How did backing Liverpool for the title, Saints to get relegated and Pompey to get promoted earn you money last year? Serious question.
    Liverpool didn’t win the title, Saints didn’t get relegated, Portsmouth didn’t promoted. Win win all round.........

  8. #8

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    under Gao, will get relegated within the next 3 seasons!

  9. #9

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    Quote Originally Posted by Batman View Post
    under Gao, will get relegated within the next 3 seasons!
    Not with with his passionate "We march on" rallying call, surely! The guy is all about passion!

  10. #10

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    Quote Originally Posted by Heisenberg View Post
    I always place insurance bets as its money I'm happy to lose, but covers worst case scenarios

    So backed us for relegation although i would be surprised if we were (poorer sides than us IMHO)

    Backed Liverpool again for the title and CL

    + Pompey promotion

    Insurance bets works for me and has made me a lot last few seasons
    my mate calls it his happiness tax when he bet against saints to win.

  11. #11

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    Quote Originally Posted by Batman View Post
    under Gao, will get relegated within the next 3 seasons!
    Yes without a great deal of investment we probably will.

    Especially as there don't seem to be any really special players coming through the Academy in important positions.

    In fact I think the lack of really good Academy players is forcing us to buy average players like when we were relegated 15 years ago

  12. #12

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    Quote Originally Posted by Batman View Post
    under Gao, will get relegated within the next 3 seasons!
    Don't be so dramatic Batman. Remember these wise words....

  13. #13

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    Quote Originally Posted by wild-saint View Post
    my mate calls it his happiness tax when he bet against saints to win.
    Definitely helps. Lose a game but beat the bookie.

    Had a few big payouts last season (eventually had my bet365 account restricted lol) and helps distract from the disappointment of a defeat.

  14. #14

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    Quote Originally Posted by Heisenberg View Post
    Norwich, Sheff United, Brighton. Despite yesterday even Burnley
    On Fridays showing Norwich would cause us problems, Brighton are not a bad side, just lost their way under Houghton in the second half of last season and have brought a few in over the summer. Sheffield United are an unknown quantity. Burnley are always a handful, a bit like the old Bolton under Sam. I was blindly optimistic before the weekend, but have since faded badly. But will all be right again if we get something from Liverpool.

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    In to 4/1 on the back of the Liverpool defeat - so I've layed some more....

  16. #16

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    Quote Originally Posted by tisspahars View Post
    In to 4/1 on the back of the Liverpool defeat - so I've layed some more....
    How much are you down if we do get relegated?

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    No offence, but as somebody who gambles for a living I am not going to trade figures with a trolling fantasist, but suffice to say it would hurt.

  18. #18

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    You gamble for a living?

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    Yes.

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    Quote Originally Posted by tisspahars View Post
    No offence, but as somebody who gambles for a living I am not going to trade figures with a trolling fantasist, but suffice to say it would hurt.
    Chuck us a PM if you wouldn't mind, i've been toying with the idea of doing exactly what you have.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Heisenberg View Post
    How much are you down if we do get relegated?
    Quote Originally Posted by tisspahars View Post
    No offence, but as somebody who gambles for a living I am not going to trade figures with a trolling fantasist, but suffice to say it would hurt.

  22. #22

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    Quote Originally Posted by tisspahars View Post
    Yes.
    Bookie or blackjack card counter? Can’t think of many other ways of making a living from gambling.

  23. #23

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    tisspaharas is a top gambler.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dark Munster View Post
    Bookie or blackjack card counter? Can’t think of many other ways of making a living from gambling.
    Horse racing.

  25. #25

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dark Munster View Post
    Bookie or blackjack card counter? Can’t think of many other ways of making a living from gambling.
    Poker? Does that count?

    (sorry just seen tisspahars has replied already)
    Last edited by mrfahaji; 21-08-2019 at 01:12 PM.

  26. #26

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    Quote Originally Posted by tisspahars View Post
    Horse racing.
    Keep the "mug" bets regular/consistent or they'll spot your matched betting account a mile off.

    Avoid ARB bets mate.

  27. #27

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    Quote Originally Posted by Batman View Post
    under Gao, will get relegated within the next 3 seasons!
    Just as well he isn't the manager/coach then.

    So looking to the positives. According to TalkSport this morning we are 1000-1 to win the league. Burnley are 2500-1.

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    Back out to 5/1 on the back of the win at Brighton.

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    And now out to 6/1 after the Man U game.

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    And now out to 8/1 after the win at Sheff Utd.

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    All the way back in to 5/1 post Bournemouth - a definite over-reaction I'd say although with the upcoming fixtures it could go shorter still before ultimately proving to be nonsense.

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    Despite losing at Spurs we are a bigger price than we were after Bournemouth - 11/2 currently.

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    Prices still settling after the Chelsea debacle but looks like we'll be around 9/2 which, given some of the comments on here some will find unfathomably big.

  34. #34

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    I still don’t think we’ll go down.

    8 games and we’ve played 4 of the supposed top 6, plus Burnley away and a pretty decent Bournemouth team. The other two games we’ve won.

    I’ll wait until we’ve played the likes of Newcastle, Norwich, Sheff Utd, Brighton, Villa and Watford at home before I get too panicky.

  35. #35

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    As above, we’ve had tough fixtures, we will be fine.

    Worried about the lack of decent central midfield options though, a few injuries are we could be in trouble.

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    Still around 4/1 - 9/2 following the point at Wolves.

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    Might chuck £200 on it to fund a season ticket in the championship next season.

  38. #38

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    Quote Originally Posted by Saint_clark View Post
    Might chuck £200 on it to most likely lose £200.
    Fixed.

  39. #39

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    Bump.

  40. #40

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    The damage is done! Any team that loses like that will be relegated. You only have to look back at history. Where would you go from here? The confidence will be shot to bits. We might improve a little over time but not enough to survive in this league. Totally shocked to go out like this and it's all down to those F ucking **** owners!

  41. #41

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    What's the record low points for relegation from the premiership...?

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  42. #42

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    Quote Originally Posted by Micky View Post
    What's the record low points for relegation from the premiership...?
    Derby, managed 11.

  43. #43

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    Pro gambling is dangerous kids.

  44. #44

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    Quote Originally Posted by Bridge View Post
    The damage is done! Any team that loses like that will be relegated. You only have to look back at history. Where would you go from here? The confidence will be shot to bits. We might improve a little over time but not enough to survive in this league. Totally shocked to go out like this and it's all down to those F ucking **** owners!
    Sunderland survived the 8-0. It's way too early to call it in but we're always going to be skirting with relegation year on year with our level of investment.

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  45. Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Lighthouse View Post
    Fixed.
    You sure...?

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  46. Default

    Unsurprisingly considerably shorter to go down after last night's extraordinary events - dumbfoundingly remarkable to some of you I imagine, we are still considered hugely more likely to stay up than go down. 9/4 to be relegated.

  47. #47

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    Itís shorter today since Newcastle ground out another point. Tbf, we should be odds on after last few games.


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  48. Default

    No, we shouldn't. Betting exchange markets are incredibly accurate - check out some stats on the exchange SP's of horses v results as evidence. If the market has settled on 9/4 being the current price then you can rest assured that is fairly close to the likelihood. It may not fit in with the "We are so going down" narrative following Friday's humiliation, but there you are. We are in trouble, certainly, but the "It's over, nothing can save us" brigade are as wrong now as they were when they wrote it on the 2017 and 2018 versions of this thread.

  49. Default

    No change at 9/4 post Man City - the vastly improved performance presumably balancing out the lack of points and victories for some of our rivals.

  50. #50

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    Regret not topping up now.

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