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How likely are English teams to meet in the CL quarters


Singapore Saint

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Done some calculations on how likely the English teams are to be drawn against each other in the Champions League quarter-finals:

 

Probability of AT LEAST 2 English teams meeting each other in the CL quarter-finals = 3/7 + 4/7 x 2/5 + 4/7 x 3/5 x 1/3 = 77.1%

 

Probability of ALL 4 English teams MEETING each other in the quarter-finals = 3/7 x 1/5 = 8.57%

 

Probability of ALL 4 English teams AVOIDING each other in the quarter-finals = 4/7 x 3/5 x 2/3 x 1/1 = 22.9%

 

Probability of LIVERPOOL being drawn against either Man Utd or Man City = 2/7 = 28.6%

 

Assumption: Draw is entirely random.

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Done some calculations on how likely the English teams are to be drawn against each other in the Champions League quarter-finals:

 

Probability of AT LEAST 2 English teams meeting each other in the CL quarter-finals = 3/7 + 4/7 x 2/5 + 4/7 x 3/5 x 1/3 = 77.1%

 

Probability of ALL 4 English teams MEETING each other in the quarter-finals = 3/7 x 1/5 = 8.57%

 

Probability of ALL 4 English teams AVOIDING each other in the quarter-finals = 4/7 x 3/5 x 2/3 x 1/1 = 22.9%

 

Probability of LIVERPOOL being drawn against either Man Utd or Man City = 2/7 = 28.6%

 

Assumption: Draw is entirely random.

 

Really fascinating stuff.

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more important and relevant to most Saints fans is we will play Dinamo Zagreb at St Mary's in International Cup Semi Final

 

https://southamptonfc.com/news/2019-03-14/premier-league-international-cup-semi-final-draw-southampton-dinamo-zagreb

 

We should fill the place to roar them on - probably scare the whatsit out of them playing in front of 30,000 home fans.

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Man City have got Barca

Too risky for Barca. They'll be coddled into the semis at least.

 

Hopefully it’s Spurs v Liverpool, then at least one of the c*nts will go out.

Sounds like a plan. :thumbup: With City or Barca waiting for the winner in the semis.

 

Warm up those balls.

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6 English teams through to the quarters of Europe, when's the last time that happened?

 

1971 apparently.

 

anyway draw been made. i do think its slightly suspicious how the 4 favourites for the trophy have been kept apart, if i was a conspiracist.

 

Ajax vs Juve

Liverpool vs Porto

Spurs vs City

Barcelona vs Man United

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1971 apparently.

 

anyway draw been made. i do think its slightly suspicious how the 4 favourites for the trophy have been kept apart, if i was a conspiracist.

 

Ajax vs Juve

Liverpool vs Porto

Spurs vs City

Barcelona vs Man United

 

Wouldn't personally call Porto one of the favorites.

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